WNBA
Wednesday, July 15 at 12:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
SEA
Seattle Storm
Away
6-20 (2-12 Away)
Last 5 Form
L
L
W
L
L
Projected Final Score
82.5
—
81.3
Projected Total: 163.8 (O/U: 171.0)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
SEA: +120
|
CHI: -145
CHI
Chicago Sky
Home
8-16 (4-7 Home)
Last 5 Form
L
L
W
L
L
Simulated Outcome Probability
Seattle Storm Win Prob
52.7%
+7.2% Value Edge
Chicago Sky Win Prob
47.3%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Seattle Storm to win outright in 52.7% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: SEA +2.5 / CHI -2.5
SEA covers
(-110)
+6.2% Edge
58.6%
CHI covers
(-110)
41.4%
Total
O/U: 171.0
OVER
(-110)
30.0%
UNDER
(-110)
+17.6% Edge
70.0%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 84.4 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: CHI holds an Offensive Rating of 100.2 vs SEA's Defensive Rating of 106.8.
- • ❌ Injury Impact: SEA ratings adjusted (OffRating: -3.0, DefRating: +3.5) with Ezi Magbegor ruled OUT.
- • 📊 Season Records: CHI is 7-16 (Home: 3-7) vs SEA 6-19 (Away: 2-11).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: CHI factor: 0.97 | SEA factor: 0.97 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Seattle Storm winning outright in 52.7% of trials. Projected score: SEA 83 - CHI 81.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 81.0
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.5
ORtg: 111.7
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 113.0
DRtg: 105.9
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 111.5
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
43.5% / 42.3%
3-Point %
28.8% / 31.2%
Free Throw %
78.8% / 77.5%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Seattle Storm
Chicago Sky
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Seattle Storm
L
@ Washington Mystics
79 - 84
|
Jul 12, 2026
L
@ Atlanta Dream
78 - 89
|
Jul 09, 2026
W
@ Los Angeles Sparks
82 - 64
|
Jul 06, 2026
L
vs Portland Fire
72 - 77
|
Jul 04, 2026
L
@ Phoenix Mercury
67 - 90
|
Jul 02, 2026
Chicago Sky
L
@ Dallas Wings
91 - 96
|
Jul 12, 2026
L
@ Los Angeles Sparks
87 - 102
|
Jul 10, 2026
W
@ Phoenix Mercury
77 - 66
|
Jul 07, 2026
L
@ Las Vegas Aces
90 - 98
|
Jul 03, 2026
L
vs Las Vegas Aces
99 - 107
|
Jun 28, 2026