WNBA
Friday, July 17 at 07:30 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
SEA
Seattle Storm
Away
6-21 (2-13 Away)
Last 5 Form
L
W
L
L
L
Projected Final Score
78.5
—
89.1
Projected Total: 167.6 (O/U: 177.0)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
SEA: +340
|
IND: -445
IND
Indiana Fever
Home
15-10 (9-5 Home)
Last 5 Form
W
L
W
W
L
Simulated Outcome Probability
Seattle Storm Win Prob
22.2%
No Value Edge
Indiana Fever Win Prob
77.8%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Indiana Fever to win outright in 77.8% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: SEA +9.5 / IND -9.5
SEA covers
(-110)
46.4%
IND covers
(-110)
+1.2% Edge
53.6%
Total
O/U: 177.0
OVER
(-110)
24.8%
UNDER
(-110)
+22.8% Edge
75.2%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 82.3 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: IND holds an Offensive Rating of 115.0 vs SEA's Defensive Rating of 107.5.
- • ❌ Injury Impact: SEA ratings adjusted (OffRating: -3.0, DefRating: +3.5) with Ezi Magbegor ruled OUT.
- • 📊 Season Records: IND is 14-10 (Home: 8-5) vs SEA 6-20 (Away: 2-12).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: IND factor: 1.022 | SEA factor: 0.964 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Indiana Fever winning outright in 77.8% of trials. Projected score: SEA 79 - IND 89.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 81.0
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 80.0
ORtg: 112.9
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 123.7
DRtg: 106.9
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 111.3
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
43.5% / 45.3%
3-Point %
28.8% / 35.6%
Free Throw %
78.8% / 77.8%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Seattle Storm
Indiana Fever
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Seattle Storm
L
@ Chicago Sky
90 - 95
|
Jul 15, 2026
L
@ Washington Mystics
79 - 84
|
Jul 12, 2026
L
@ Atlanta Dream
78 - 89
|
Jul 09, 2026
W
@ Los Angeles Sparks
82 - 64
|
Jul 06, 2026
L
vs Portland Fire
72 - 77
|
Jul 04, 2026
Indiana Fever
L
vs Golden State Valkyries
75 - 88
|
Jul 15, 2026
W
@ Las Vegas Aces
109 - 75
|
Jul 12, 2026
W
@ Phoenix Mercury
92 - 89
|
Jul 09, 2026
L
@ Los Angeles Sparks
92 - 106
|
Jul 08, 2026
W
@ Las Vegas Aces
84 - 68
|
Jul 05, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Indiana Fever defeated Seattle Storm
89 - 78
|
May 17, 2026