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WNBA Friday, July 17 at 07:30 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
SEA

Seattle Storm

Away 6-21 (2-13 Away)
L W L L L
Projected Final Score
78.5 — 89.1
IND

Indiana Fever

Home 15-10 (9-5 Home)
W L W W L
Spread
SEA +9.5 (-110)
IND -9.5 (-110)
Total
Posted 177.0 (-110)
Simulated 167.6
Moneyline
SEA +340
IND -445

Simulated Outcome Probability

Seattle Storm
22.2%
Indiana Fever
77.8%
No edge at +340
No edge at -445

Our 10,000 iterations project the Indiana Fever to win outright in 77.8% of simulated game-runs.

Simulator Cover Probability

Spread Line: SEA +9.5 / IND -9.5
SEA covers (-110) 46.4%
IND covers (-110) +1.2% Edge 53.6%
Total O/U: 177.0
OVER (-110) 24.8%
UNDER (-110) +22.8% Edge 75.2%

Model Simulation Deciders

  • • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 82.3 possessions per 40 minutes.
  • • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: IND holds an Offensive Rating of 115.0 vs SEA's Defensive Rating of 107.5.
  • • ❌ Injury Impact: SEA ratings adjusted (OffRating: -3.0, DefRating: +3.5) with Ezi Magbegor ruled OUT.
  • • 📊 Season Records: IND is 14-10 (Home: 8-5) vs SEA 6-20 (Away: 2-12).
  • • 🔥 Momentum Factors: IND factor: 1.022 | SEA factor: 0.964 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).

VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis

Best Bet

Our 10,000 simulations project the Indiana Fever winning outright in 77.8% of trials. Projected score: SEA 79 - IND 89.

WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits

📊 Statistical Comparison

Pace: 81.0 Possessions per 40 min Pace: 80.0
ORtg: 112.9 Offensive Rating ORtg: 126.7
DRtg: 106.9 Defensive Rating (Lower is Better) DRtg: 109.8

🎯 Shooting Splits

Field Goal %
43.5% / 45.3%
3-Point %
28.8% / 35.6%
Free Throw %
78.8% / 77.8%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.

Top Team Performers

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Seattle Storm

Indiana Fever

Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)

Seattle Storm

L @ Chicago Sky
90 - 95 | Jul 15, 2026
L @ Washington Mystics
79 - 84 | Jul 12, 2026
L @ Atlanta Dream
78 - 89 | Jul 09, 2026
W @ Los Angeles Sparks
82 - 64 | Jul 06, 2026
L vs Portland Fire
72 - 77 | Jul 04, 2026

Indiana Fever

L vs Golden State Valkyries
75 - 88 | Jul 15, 2026
W @ Las Vegas Aces
109 - 75 | Jul 12, 2026
W @ Phoenix Mercury
92 - 89 | Jul 09, 2026
L @ Los Angeles Sparks
92 - 106 | Jul 08, 2026
W @ Las Vegas Aces
84 - 68 | Jul 05, 2026

Head-to-Head History

Home Indiana Fever defeated Seattle Storm
89 - 78 | May 17, 2026

Injury Reports

Seattle Storm 4 reported

F Jordan Horston
Day-To-Day
F Ezi Magbegor
Out
G Jade Melbourne
Day-To-Day
F Katie Lou Samuelson
Out

Indiana Fever 0 reported

No major injuries reported.