WNBA
Friday, July 17 at 07:30 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
ATL
Atlanta Dream
Away
15-10 (7-6 Away)
Last 5 Form
L
L
W
L
W
Projected Final Score
84.1
—
87.0
Projected Total: 171.1 (O/U: 181.5)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
ATL: -415
|
TOR: +320
TOR
Toronto Tempo
Home
10-15 (6-9 Home)
Last 5 Form
L
L
L
W
L
Simulated Outcome Probability
Atlanta Dream Win Prob
41.9%
No Value Edge
Toronto Tempo Win Prob
58.1%
+34.3% Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Toronto Tempo to win outright in 58.1% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: ATL -9.5 / TOR +9.5
ATL covers
(-110)
20.1%
TOR covers
(-110)
+27.5% Edge
79.9%
Total
O/U: 181.5
OVER
(-110)
24.3%
UNDER
(-110)
+23.3% Edge
75.7%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 84.9 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: TOR holds an Offensive Rating of 106.3 vs ATL's Defensive Rating of 102.1.
- • 📊 Season Records: TOR is 10-14 (Home: 6-8) vs ATL 14-10 (Away: 6-6).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: TOR factor: 0.964 | ATL factor: 1.008 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Toronto Tempo winning outright in 58.1% of trials. Projected score: ATL 84 - TOR 87.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 78.2
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 80.5
ORtg: 120.5
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 115.7
DRtg: 107.4
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 110.3
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
40.9% / 44.5%
3-Point %
30.8% / 34.0%
Free Throw %
77.8% / 79.0%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Atlanta Dream
Toronto Tempo
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Atlanta Dream
W
vs Los Angeles Sparks
101 - 92
|
Jul 13, 2026
L
vs Portland Fire
92 - 102
|
Jul 11, 2026
W
vs Seattle Storm
89 - 78
|
Jul 09, 2026
L
vs Golden State Valkyries
83 - 88
|
Jul 04, 2026
L
@ Washington Mystics
76 - 81
|
Jul 02, 2026
Toronto Tempo
L
vs Washington Mystics
62 - 79
|
Jul 14, 2026
W
vs New York Liberty
93 - 91
|
Jul 12, 2026
L
vs Dallas Wings
95 - 108
|
Jul 10, 2026
L
vs Golden State Valkyries
75 - 83
|
Jul 08, 2026
L
vs Dallas Wings
76 - 89
|
Jul 05, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Atlanta Dream defeated Toronto Tempo
94 - 87
|
Jun 22, 2026
Away
Atlanta Dream defeated Toronto Tempo
102 - 77
|
Jun 14, 2026