WNBA
Sunday, July 19 at 01:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
LA
Los Angeles Sparks
Away
10-15 (5-8 Away)
Last 5 Form
W
W
L
L
L
Projected Final Score
83.0
—
91.9
Projected Total: 174.9 (O/U: 183.6)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
LA: +355
|
DAL: -485
DAL
Dallas Wings
Home
17-8 (8-3 Home)
Last 5 Form
W
W
W
W
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Los Angeles Sparks Win Prob
27.2%
+5.2% Value Edge
Dallas Wings Win Prob
72.9%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Dallas Wings to win outright in 72.9% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: LA +10.1 / DAL -10.1
LA covers
(-110)
+2.5% Edge
54.9%
DAL covers
(-110)
45.1%
Total
O/U: 183.6
OVER
(-110)
28.2%
UNDER
(-110)
+19.4% Edge
71.8%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • ๐ Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 85.7 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • ๐ Offensive/Defensive Ratings: DAL holds an Offensive Rating of 115.6 vs LA's Defensive Rating of 109.2.
- • ๐ Season Records: DAL is 16-8 (Home: 7-3) vs LA 10-14 (Away: 5-7).
- • ๐ฅ Momentum Factors: DAL factor: 1.05 | LA factor: 0.978 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Dallas Wings winning outright in 72.9% of trials. Projected score: LA 83 - DAL 92.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
๐ Statistical Comparison
Pace: 78.8
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 80.1
ORtg: 104.8
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 109.4
DRtg: 113.9
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 108.6
๐ฏ Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
42.5% / 44.6%
3-Point %
32.5% / 32.2%
Free Throw %
76.8% / 80.5%
โก Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Los Angeles Sparks
Dallas Wings
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Los Angeles Sparks
L
@ Chicago Sky
82 - 96
|
Jul 17, 2026
L
@ Minnesota Lynx
87 - 96
|
Jul 15, 2026
L
@ Atlanta Dream
92 - 101
|
Jul 13, 2026
W
vs Chicago Sky
102 - 87
|
Jul 10, 2026
W
vs Indiana Fever
106 - 92
|
Jul 08, 2026
Dallas Wings
W
vs Chicago Sky
96 - 91
|
Jul 12, 2026
W
@ Toronto Tempo
108 - 95
|
Jul 10, 2026
W
@ New York Liberty
88 - 77
|
Jul 07, 2026
W
@ Toronto Tempo
89 - 76
|
Jul 05, 2026
W
@ Connecticut Sun
86 - 83
|
Jul 02, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Away
Dallas Wings defeated Los Angeles Sparks
104 - 96
|
Jun 05, 2026
Injury Reports
Los Angeles Sparks 1 reported
Dallas Wings 0 reported
No major injuries reported.