WNBA
Sunday, July 19 at 04:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
CHI
Chicago Sky
Away
9-17 (4-10 Away)
Last 5 Form
W
L
L
W
W
Projected Final Score
80.7
—
82.8
Projected Total: 163.5 (O/U: 179.9)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
CHI: +425
|
ATL: -595
ATL
Atlanta Dream
Home
16-10 (9-4 Home)
Last 5 Form
L
W
L
W
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Chicago Sky Win Prob
44.2%
+25.2% Value Edge
Atlanta Dream Win Prob
55.8%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Atlanta Dream to win outright in 55.8% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: CHI +11.8 / ATL -11.8
CHI covers
(-110)
+21.6% Edge
74.0%
ATL covers
(-110)
26.0%
Total
O/U: 179.9
OVER
(-110)
13.3%
UNDER
(-110)
+34.3% Edge
86.7%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 84.0 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: ATL holds an Offensive Rating of 110.6 vs CHI's Defensive Rating of 107.0.
- • 📊 Season Records: ATL is 15-10 (Home: 8-4) vs CHI 9-16 (Away: 4-9).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: ATL factor: 1.022 | CHI factor: 0.992 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Atlanta Dream winning outright in 55.8% of trials. Projected score: CHI 81 - ATL 83.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 78.5
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.2
ORtg: 114.8
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 121.1
DRtg: 111.7
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 107.6
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
42.3% / 40.9%
3-Point %
31.2% / 30.8%
Free Throw %
77.5% / 77.8%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Chicago Sky
Atlanta Dream
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Chicago Sky
W
vs Los Angeles Sparks
96 - 82
|
Jul 17, 2026
W
vs Seattle Storm
95 - 90
|
Jul 15, 2026
L
@ Dallas Wings
91 - 96
|
Jul 12, 2026
L
@ Los Angeles Sparks
87 - 102
|
Jul 10, 2026
W
@ Phoenix Mercury
77 - 66
|
Jul 07, 2026
Atlanta Dream
W
@ Toronto Tempo
111 - 92
|
Jul 17, 2026
W
vs Los Angeles Sparks
101 - 92
|
Jul 13, 2026
L
vs Portland Fire
92 - 102
|
Jul 11, 2026
W
vs Seattle Storm
89 - 78
|
Jul 09, 2026
L
vs Golden State Valkyries
83 - 88
|
Jul 04, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Away
Atlanta Dream defeated Chicago Sky
82 - 75
|
Jun 09, 2026