WNBA
Monday, July 20 at 08:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
LV
Las Vegas Aces
Away
18-7 (11-2 Away)
Last 5 Form
W
L
W
W
L
Projected Final Score
90.9
—
81.4
Projected Total: 172.3 (O/U: 181.4)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
LV: -590
|
TOR: +425
TOR
Toronto Tempo
Home
10-16 (6-10 Home)
Last 5 Form
L
L
W
L
L
Simulated Outcome Probability
Las Vegas Aces Win Prob
75.1%
No Value Edge
Toronto Tempo Win Prob
25.0%
+6.0% Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Las Vegas Aces to win outright in 75.1% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: LV -10.9 / TOR +10.9
LV covers
(-110)
47.7%
TOR covers
(-110)
52.3%
Total
O/U: 181.4
OVER
(-110)
25.8%
UNDER
(-110)
+21.8% Edge
74.2%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 82.1 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: TOR holds an Offensive Rating of 102.2 vs LV's Defensive Rating of 97.6.
- • 📊 Season Records: TOR is 10-15 (Home: 6-9) vs LV 17-7 (Away: 10-2).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: TOR factor: 0.97 | LV factor: 1.01 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Las Vegas Aces winning outright in 75.1% of trials. Projected score: LV 91 - TOR 81.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 80.2
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 80.5
ORtg: 124.4
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 114.7
DRtg: 103.3
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 111.0
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
45.4% / 44.5%
3-Point %
35.0% / 34.0%
Free Throw %
81.5% / 79.0%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Las Vegas Aces
Toronto Tempo
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Las Vegas Aces
L
vs Indiana Fever
75 - 109
|
Jul 12, 2026
W
vs Phoenix Mercury
106 - 58
|
Jul 11, 2026
W
@ Portland Fire
88 - 80
|
Jul 09, 2026
L
vs Indiana Fever
68 - 84
|
Jul 05, 2026
W
vs Chicago Sky
98 - 90
|
Jul 03, 2026
Toronto Tempo
L
vs Atlanta Dream
92 - 111
|
Jul 17, 2026
L
vs Washington Mystics
62 - 79
|
Jul 14, 2026
W
vs New York Liberty
93 - 91
|
Jul 12, 2026
L
vs Dallas Wings
95 - 108
|
Jul 10, 2026
L
vs Golden State Valkyries
75 - 83
|
Jul 08, 2026