WNBA
Wednesday, July 29 at 08:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
ATL
Atlanta Dream
Away
16-10 (7-6 Away)
Last 5 Form
W
L
W
W
W
Projected Final Score
88.6
—
85.1
Projected Total: 173.7 (O/U: 181.0)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
ATL: -115
|
DAL: -105
DAL
Dallas Wings
Home
18-9 (8-4 Home)
Last 5 Form
W
W
W
L
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Atlanta Dream Win Prob
60.1%
+6.6% Value Edge
Dallas Wings Win Prob
39.9%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Atlanta Dream to win outright in 60.1% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: ATL -1.0 / DAL +1.0
ATL covers
(-110)
+6.4% Edge
58.8%
DAL covers
(-110)
41.2%
Total
O/U: 181.0
OVER
(-110)
29.3%
UNDER
(-110)
+18.3% Edge
70.7%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 78.4 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: DAL holds an Offensive Rating of 109.8 vs ATL's Defensive Rating of 104.8.
- • 📊 Season Records: DAL is 18-9 (Home: 8-4) vs ATL 16-10 (Away: 7-6).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: DAL factor: 1.006 | ATL factor: 1.036 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Atlanta Dream winning outright in 60.1% of trials. Projected score: ATL 89 - DAL 85.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 78.2
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 80.1
ORtg: 122.1
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 110.2
DRtg: 108.7
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 109.3
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
40.9% / 44.6%
3-Point %
30.8% / 32.2%
Free Throw %
77.8% / 80.5%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Atlanta Dream
Dallas Wings
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Atlanta Dream
W
vs Chicago Sky
93 - 91
|
Jul 19, 2026
W
@ Toronto Tempo
111 - 92
|
Jul 17, 2026
W
vs Los Angeles Sparks
101 - 92
|
Jul 13, 2026
L
vs Portland Fire
92 - 102
|
Jul 11, 2026
W
vs Seattle Storm
89 - 78
|
Jul 09, 2026
Dallas Wings
W
@ Portland Fire
101 - 97
|
Jul 22, 2026
L
vs New York Liberty
98 - 99
|
Jul 20, 2026
W
vs Los Angeles Sparks
90 - 82
|
Jul 19, 2026
W
vs Chicago Sky
96 - 91
|
Jul 12, 2026
W
@ Toronto Tempo
108 - 95
|
Jul 10, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Atlanta Dream defeated Dallas Wings
86 - 69
|
May 22, 2026
Injury Reports
Atlanta Dream 2 reported
Dallas Wings 0 reported
No major injuries reported.