WNBA
Friday, July 31 at 07:30 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
DAL
Dallas Wings
Away
18-9 (10-5 Away)
Last 5 Form
W
W
W
L
W
Projected Final Score
86.5
—
88.1
Projected Total: 174.6 (O/U: 174.6)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
DAL: +100
|
WSH: -120
WSH
Washington Mystics
Home
15-12 (7-6 Home)
Last 5 Form
L
L
W
W
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Dallas Wings Win Prob
45.6%
No Value Edge
Washington Mystics Win Prob
54.4%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Washington Mystics to win outright in 54.4% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: DAL -1.6 / WSH +1.6
DAL covers
(-110)
42.6%
WSH covers
(-110)
+5.0% Edge
57.4%
Total
O/U: 174.6
OVER
(-110)
49.5%
UNDER
(-110)
50.5%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 78.9 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: WSH holds an Offensive Rating of 110.4 vs DAL's Defensive Rating of 105.3.
- • 📊 Season Records: WSH is 15-12 (Home: 7-6) vs DAL 18-9 (Away: 10-5).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: WSH factor: 0.992 | DAL factor: 1.036 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Washington Mystics winning outright in 54.4% of trials. Projected score: DAL 87 - WSH 88.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 80.1
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.6
ORtg: 110.2
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 111.8
DRtg: 109.3
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 102.6
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
44.6% / 43.3%
3-Point %
32.2% / 36.8%
Free Throw %
80.5% / 76.2%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Dallas Wings
Washington Mystics
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Dallas Wings
W
@ Portland Fire
101 - 97
|
Jul 22, 2026
L
vs New York Liberty
98 - 99
|
Jul 20, 2026
W
vs Los Angeles Sparks
90 - 82
|
Jul 19, 2026
W
vs Chicago Sky
96 - 91
|
Jul 12, 2026
W
@ Toronto Tempo
108 - 95
|
Jul 10, 2026
Washington Mystics
W
vs Connecticut Sun
92 - 84
|
Jul 28, 2026
W
vs Las Vegas Aces
100 - 99
|
Jul 22, 2026
W
@ Golden State Valkyries
90 - 82
|
Jul 20, 2026
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
69 - 74
|
Jul 18, 2026
L
vs Portland Fire
56 - 75
|
Jul 16, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Dallas Wings defeated Washington Mystics
92 - 69
|
May 18, 2026
Injury Reports
Dallas Wings 0 reported
No major injuries reported.