WNBA
Saturday, August 01 at 01:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
LV
Las Vegas Aces
Away
20-8 (11-3 Away)
Last 5 Form
L
W
L
W
W
Projected Final Score
95.8
—
82.8
Projected Total: 178.6 (O/U: 184.5)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
LV: -255
|
CHI: +205
CHI
Chicago Sky
Home
10-18 (6-7 Home)
Last 5 Form
W
W
L
L
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Las Vegas Aces Win Prob
82.4%
+10.6% Value Edge
Chicago Sky Win Prob
17.6%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Las Vegas Aces to win outright in 82.4% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: LV -6.2 / CHI +6.2
LV covers
(-110)
+15.6% Edge
68.0%
CHI covers
(-115)
32.0%
Total
O/U: 184.5
OVER
(-110)
33.6%
UNDER
(-110)
+14.0% Edge
66.4%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 78.4 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: CHI holds an Offensive Rating of 113.8 vs LV's Defensive Rating of 100.8.
- • 📊 Season Records: CHI is 10-18 (Home: 6-7) vs LV 20-8 (Away: 11-3).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: CHI factor: 0.992 | LV factor: 1.022 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Las Vegas Aces winning outright in 82.4% of trials. Projected score: LV 96 - CHI 83.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 80.2
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.5
ORtg: 125.9
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 116.0
DRtg: 103.1
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 111.0
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
45.4% / 42.3%
3-Point %
35.0% / 31.2%
Free Throw %
81.5% / 77.5%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Las Vegas Aces
Chicago Sky
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Las Vegas Aces
W
vs New York Liberty
104 - 99
|
Jul 30, 2026
W
vs Portland Fire
98 - 83
|
Jul 28, 2026
L
@ Washington Mystics
99 - 100
|
Jul 22, 2026
W
@ Toronto Tempo
109 - 83
|
Jul 20, 2026
L
vs Indiana Fever
75 - 109
|
Jul 12, 2026
Chicago Sky
W
vs Connecticut Sun
94 - 88
|
Jul 30, 2026
L
@ New York Liberty
94 - 95
|
Jul 22, 2026
L
@ Atlanta Dream
91 - 93
|
Jul 19, 2026
W
vs Los Angeles Sparks
96 - 82
|
Jul 17, 2026
W
vs Seattle Storm
95 - 90
|
Jul 15, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Las Vegas Aces defeated Chicago Sky
98 - 90
|
Jul 03, 2026
Away
Las Vegas Aces defeated Chicago Sky
107 - 99
|
Jun 28, 2026