WNBA
Sunday, August 02 at 01:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
IND
Indiana Fever
Away
19-10 (8-5 Away)
Last 5 Form
W
W
W
W
W
Projected Final Score
91.5
—
94.8
Projected Total: 186.3 (O/U: 193.2)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
IND: +190
|
MIN: -235
MIN
Minnesota Lynx
Home
24-6 (11-4 Home)
Last 5 Form
W
W
W
W
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Indiana Fever Win Prob
40.5%
+6.0% Value Edge
Minnesota Lynx Win Prob
59.6%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Minnesota Lynx to win outright in 59.6% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: IND +6.2 / MIN -6.2
IND covers
(-110)
+5.7% Edge
58.1%
MIN covers
(-110)
41.9%
Total
O/U: 193.2
OVER
(-110)
30.0%
UNDER
(-105)
+18.8% Edge
70.0%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 77.2 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: MIN holds an Offensive Rating of 129.1 vs IND's Defensive Rating of 105.9.
- • 📊 Season Records: MIN is 24-6 (Home: 11-4) vs IND 19-10 (Away: 8-5).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: MIN factor: 1.05 | IND factor: 1.05 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Minnesota Lynx winning outright in 59.6% of trials. Projected score: IND 92 - MIN 95.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 80.0
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.0
ORtg: 130.6
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 125.8
DRtg: 111.5
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 102.4
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
45.3% / 44.8%
3-Point %
35.6% / 38.0%
Free Throw %
77.8% / 78.5%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Indiana Fever
Minnesota Lynx
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Indiana Fever
W
@ Portland Fire
112 - 98
|
Jul 31, 2026
W
@ Seattle Storm
105 - 95
|
Jul 28, 2026
W
vs Connecticut Sun
123 - 88
|
Jul 22, 2026
W
vs New York Liberty
108 - 88
|
Jul 18, 2026
W
vs Seattle Storm
110 - 107
|
Jul 17, 2026
Minnesota Lynx
W
@ Toronto Tempo
104 - 72
|
Jul 30, 2026
W
vs Toronto Tempo
100 - 93
|
Jul 28, 2026
W
@ Seattle Storm
86 - 76
|
Jul 22, 2026
W
@ Seattle Storm
105 - 102
|
Jul 20, 2026
W
vs Portland Fire
101 - 93
|
Jul 18, 2026