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WNBA Sunday, August 02 at 03:30 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
LA

Los Angeles Sparks

Away 11-17 (6-8 Away)
L L L L L
Projected Final Score
87.6 — 95.3
POR

Portland Fire

Home 11-19 (6-9 Home)
W L L L L
Spread
LA +0.4 (-110)
POR -0.4 (-110)
Total
Posted 185.8 (-110)
Simulated 182.9
Moneyline
LA -105
POR -115

Simulated Outcome Probability

Los Angeles Sparks
29.6%
Portland Fire
70.4%
No edge at -105
+16.9% edge at -115

Our 10,000 iterations project the Portland Fire to win outright in 70.4% of simulated game-runs.

Simulator Cover Probability

Spread Line: LA +0.4 / POR -0.4
LA covers (-110) 29.6%
POR covers (-110) +18.0% Edge 70.4%
Total O/U: 185.8
OVER (-110) 42.0%
UNDER (-110) +5.6% Edge 58.0%

Model Simulation Deciders

  • • ๐Ÿ€ Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 80.2 possessions per 40 minutes.
  • • ๐Ÿ“ˆ Offensive/Defensive Ratings: POR holds an Offensive Rating of 123.4 vs LA's Defensive Rating of 117.6.
  • • ๐Ÿ“Š Season Records: POR is 11-18 (Home: 6-8) vs LA 10-17 (Away: 5-8).
  • • ๐Ÿ”ฅ Momentum Factors: POR factor: 0.964 | LA factor: 0.98 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).

VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis

Best Bet

Our 10,000 simulations project the Portland Fire winning outright in 70.4% of trials. Projected score: LA 88 - POR 95.

WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits

๐Ÿ“Š Statistical Comparison

Pace: 78.8 Possessions per 40 min Pace: 79.8
ORtg: 104.9 Offensive Rating ORtg: 126.5
DRtg: 115.1 Defensive Rating (Lower is Better) DRtg: 113.4

๐ŸŽฏ Shooting Splits

Field Goal %
42.5% / 43.8%
3-Point %
32.5% / 32.5%
Free Throw %
76.8% / 78.5%
โšก Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.

Top Team Performers

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Los Angeles Sparks

Portland Fire

Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)

Los Angeles Sparks

L vs New York Liberty
109 - 113 | Jul 28, 2026
L vs Phoenix Mercury
82 - 86 | Jul 22, 2026
L @ Dallas Wings
82 - 90 | Jul 19, 2026
L @ Chicago Sky
82 - 96 | Jul 17, 2026
L @ Minnesota Lynx
87 - 96 | Jul 15, 2026

Portland Fire

L vs Indiana Fever
98 - 112 | Jul 31, 2026
L @ Las Vegas Aces
83 - 98 | Jul 28, 2026
L vs Dallas Wings
97 - 101 | Jul 22, 2026
L @ Minnesota Lynx
93 - 101 | Jul 18, 2026
W @ Washington Mystics
75 - 56 | Jul 16, 2026

Head-to-Head History

Home Los Angeles Sparks defeated Portland Fire
89 - 72 | Jun 07, 2026

Injury Reports

Los Angeles Sparks 0 reported

No major injuries reported.

Portland Fire 7 reported

G Sarah Ashlee Barker
Out
F Bridget Carleton
Out
C Megan DiLeo
Out
F Sania Feagin
Out
C Luisa Geiselsoder
Out
G Carla Leite
Out
G Teja Oblak
Out