WNBA
Monday, August 03 at 07:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
SEA
Seattle Storm
Away
6-25 (2-14 Away)
Last 5 Form
L
L
L
L
L
Projected Final Score
85.9
—
93.3
Projected Total: 179.2 (O/U: 179.2)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
SEA: +235
|
NY: -290
NY
New York Liberty
Home
16-13 (8-5 Home)
Last 5 Form
L
W
W
W
L
Simulated Outcome Probability
Seattle Storm Win Prob
30.1%
+0.2% Value Edge
New York Liberty Win Prob
70.0%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the New York Liberty to win outright in 70.0% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: SEA -7.4 / NY +7.4
SEA covers
(-110)
14.9%
NY covers
(-110)
+32.7% Edge
85.1%
Total
O/U: 179.2
OVER
(-110)
48.6%
UNDER
(-110)
51.4%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 79.7 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: NY holds an Offensive Rating of 111.9 vs SEA's Defensive Rating of 109.8.
- • 📊 Season Records: NY is 16-13 (Home: 8-5) vs SEA 6-25 (Away: 2-14).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: NY factor: 0.992 | SEA factor: 0.98 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the New York Liberty winning outright in 70.0% of trials. Projected score: SEA 86 - NY 93.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 81.0
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.8
ORtg: 117.2
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 113.1
DRtg: 107.6
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 107.6
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
43.5% / 46.2%
3-Point %
28.8% / 34.9%
Free Throw %
78.8% / 82.2%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Seattle Storm
New York Liberty
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Seattle Storm
L
@ Atlanta Dream
89 - 98
|
Jul 31, 2026
L
vs Indiana Fever
95 - 105
|
Jul 28, 2026
L
vs Minnesota Lynx
76 - 86
|
Jul 22, 2026
L
vs Minnesota Lynx
102 - 105
|
Jul 20, 2026
L
@ Indiana Fever
107 - 110
|
Jul 17, 2026
New York Liberty
L
@ Las Vegas Aces
99 - 104
|
Jul 30, 2026
W
@ Los Angeles Sparks
113 - 109
|
Jul 28, 2026
W
vs Chicago Sky
95 - 94
|
Jul 22, 2026
W
@ Dallas Wings
99 - 98
|
Jul 20, 2026
L
@ Indiana Fever
88 - 108
|
Jul 18, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Seattle Storm defeated New York Liberty
99 - 88
|
Jun 25, 2026