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WNBA Monday, August 03 at 07:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
SEA

Seattle Storm

Away 6-26 (2-15 Away)
L L L L L
Projected Final Score
85.5 — 94.0
NY

New York Liberty

Home 18-13 (9-5 Home)
W W W L W
Spread
SEA +7.5 (-110)
NY -7.5 (-110)
Total
Posted 182.1 (-110)
Simulated 179.5
Moneyline
SEA +250
NY -315

Simulated Outcome Probability

Seattle Storm
27.3%
New York Liberty
72.7%
No edge at +250
No edge at -315

Our 10,000 iterations project the New York Liberty to win outright in 72.7% of simulated game-runs.

Simulator Cover Probability

Spread Line: SEA +7.5 / NY -7.5
SEA covers (-110) 46.9%
NY covers (-110) +0.7% Edge 53.1%
Total O/U: 182.1
OVER (-110) 41.5%
UNDER (-110) +6.1% Edge 58.5%

Model Simulation Deciders

  • • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 79.8 possessions per 40 minutes.
  • • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: NY holds an Offensive Rating of 114.2 vs SEA's Defensive Rating of 109.8.
  • • 📊 Season Records: NY is 17-13 (Home: 8-5) vs SEA 6-25 (Away: 2-14).
  • • 🔥 Momentum Factors: NY factor: 1.006 | SEA factor: 0.98 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).

VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis

Best Bet

Our 10,000 simulations project the New York Liberty winning outright in 72.7% of trials. Projected score: SEA 86 - NY 94.

WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits

📊 Statistical Comparison

Pace: 81.0 Possessions per 40 min Pace: 78.8
ORtg: 115.6 Offensive Rating ORtg: 113.8
DRtg: 109.4 Defensive Rating (Lower is Better) DRtg: 107.7

🎯 Shooting Splits

Field Goal %
43.5% / 46.2%
3-Point %
28.8% / 34.9%
Free Throw %
78.8% / 82.2%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.

Top Team Performers

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Seattle Storm

New York Liberty

Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)

Seattle Storm

L @ Atlanta Dream
89 - 98 | Jul 31, 2026
L vs Indiana Fever
95 - 105 | Jul 28, 2026
L vs Minnesota Lynx
76 - 86 | Jul 22, 2026
L vs Minnesota Lynx
102 - 105 | Jul 20, 2026
L @ Indiana Fever
107 - 110 | Jul 17, 2026

New York Liberty

W @ Phoenix Mercury
94 - 92 | Aug 01, 2026
L @ Las Vegas Aces
99 - 104 | Jul 30, 2026
W @ Los Angeles Sparks
113 - 109 | Jul 28, 2026
W vs Chicago Sky
95 - 94 | Jul 22, 2026
W @ Dallas Wings
99 - 98 | Jul 20, 2026

Head-to-Head History

Home Seattle Storm defeated New York Liberty
99 - 88 | Jun 25, 2026

Injury Reports

Seattle Storm 4 reported

F Jordan Horston
Day-To-Day
F Ezi Magbegor
Out
G Jade Melbourne
Day-To-Day
F Katie Lou Samuelson
Out

New York Liberty 1 reported

F Satou Sabally
Out