WNBA
Tuesday, August 04 at 10:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
TOR
Toronto Tempo
Away
10-20 (4-9 Away)
Last 5 Form
L
L
L
L
L
Projected Final Score
83.0
—
91.5
Projected Total: 174.5 (O/U: 169.5)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
TOR: +480
|
GSV: -680
GSV
Golden State Valkyries
Home
21-9 (13-4 Home)
Last 5 Form
W
W
L
L
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Toronto Tempo Win Prob
27.3%
+10.1% Value Edge
Golden State Valkyries Win Prob
72.7%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Golden State Valkyries to win outright in 72.7% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: TOR +11.5 / GSV -11.5
TOR covers
(-110)
+5.6% Edge
58.0%
GSV covers
(-110)
42.0%
Total
O/U: 169.5
OVER
(-110)
+10.7% Edge
63.1%
UNDER
(-110)
36.9%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 79.3 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: GSV holds an Offensive Rating of 107.0 vs TOR's Defensive Rating of 119.0.
- • 📊 Season Records: GSV is 20-9 (Home: 12-4) vs TOR 10-19 (Away: 4-8).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: GSV factor: 1.022 | TOR factor: 0.95 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Golden State Valkyries winning outright in 72.7% of trials. Projected score: TOR 83 - GSV 92.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 80.5
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 79.2
ORtg: 116.4
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 105.6
DRtg: 113.4
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 96.9
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
44.5% / 44.9%
3-Point %
34.0% / 34.5%
Free Throw %
79.0% / 79.2%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Toronto Tempo
Golden State Valkyries
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Toronto Tempo
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
79 - 96
|
Aug 02, 2026
L
vs Minnesota Lynx
72 - 104
|
Jul 30, 2026
L
@ Minnesota Lynx
93 - 100
|
Jul 28, 2026
L
vs Las Vegas Aces
83 - 109
|
Jul 20, 2026
L
vs Atlanta Dream
92 - 111
|
Jul 17, 2026
Golden State Valkyries
W
vs Toronto Tempo
96 - 79
|
Aug 02, 2026
L
@ Phoenix Mercury
89 - 91
|
Jul 29, 2026
L
vs Washington Mystics
82 - 90
|
Jul 20, 2026
W
vs Washington Mystics
74 - 69
|
Jul 18, 2026
W
@ Indiana Fever
88 - 75
|
Jul 15, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Toronto Tempo
96 - 79
|
Aug 02, 2026
Away
Golden State Valkyries defeated Toronto Tempo
83 - 75
|
Jul 08, 2026