WNBA
Saturday, August 08 at 01:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
LV
Las Vegas Aces
Away
22-10 (13-5 Away)
Last 5 Form
W
W
L
W
W
Projected Final Score
91.5
—
90.1
Projected Total: 181.6 (O/U: 181.7)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
LV: +180
|
MIN: -220
MIN
Minnesota Lynx
Home
26-7 (13-5 Home)
Last 5 Form
W
W
W
W
L
Simulated Outcome Probability
Las Vegas Aces Win Prob
53.9%
+18.2% Value Edge
Minnesota Lynx Win Prob
46.2%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Las Vegas Aces to win outright in 53.9% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: LV +5.5 / MIN -5.5
LV covers
(-110)
+16.0% Edge
68.4%
MIN covers
(-110)
31.6%
Total
O/U: 181.7
OVER
(-110)
50.0%
UNDER
(-110)
50.0%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 77.2 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: MIN holds an Offensive Rating of 121.3 vs LV's Defensive Rating of 100.2.
- • 📊 Season Records: MIN is 25-7 (Home: 12-5) vs LV 22-9 (Away: 13-4).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: MIN factor: 1.006 | LV factor: 1.036 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Las Vegas Aces winning outright in 53.9% of trials. Projected score: LV 92 - MIN 90.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 80.2
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.0
ORtg: 125.9
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 121.7
DRtg: 104.1
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 104.3
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
45.4% / 44.8%
3-Point %
35.0% / 38.0%
Free Throw %
81.5% / 78.5%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Las Vegas Aces
Minnesota Lynx
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Las Vegas Aces
W
@ Indiana Fever
86 - 84
|
Aug 06, 2026
W
@ Atlanta Dream
109 - 87
|
Aug 03, 2026
L
@ Chicago Sky
83 - 84
|
Aug 01, 2026
W
vs New York Liberty
104 - 99
|
Jul 30, 2026
W
vs Portland Fire
98 - 83
|
Jul 28, 2026
Minnesota Lynx
L
vs Los Angeles Sparks
82 - 89
|
Aug 06, 2026
W
vs Indiana Fever
108 - 100
|
Aug 02, 2026
W
@ Toronto Tempo
104 - 72
|
Jul 30, 2026
W
vs Toronto Tempo
100 - 93
|
Jul 28, 2026
W
@ Seattle Storm
86 - 76
|
Jul 22, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Las Vegas Aces defeated Minnesota Lynx
100 - 97
|
Jun 13, 2026