WNBA
Saturday, August 08 at 03:30 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
IND
Indiana Fever
Away
20-12 (9-6 Away)
Last 5 Form
W
W
W
L
L
Projected Final Score
97.7
—
87.3
Projected Total: 185.0 (O/U: 191.5)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
IND: -240
|
CHI: +195
CHI
Chicago Sky
Home
12-20 (8-9 Home)
Last 5 Form
L
W
W
L
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Indiana Fever Win Prob
77.6%
+7.0% Value Edge
Chicago Sky Win Prob
22.4%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Indiana Fever to win outright in 77.6% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: IND -6.2 / CHI +6.2
IND covers
(-110)
+8.8% Edge
61.2%
CHI covers
(-110)
38.8%
Total
O/U: 191.5
OVER
(-110)
32.6%
UNDER
(-110)
+15.1% Edge
67.5%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 78.6 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: CHI holds an Offensive Rating of 116.2 vs IND's Defensive Rating of 108.2.
- • 📊 Season Records: CHI is 12-19 (Home: 8-8) vs IND 19-12 (Away: 8-6).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: CHI factor: 0.992 | IND factor: 1.022 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Indiana Fever winning outright in 77.6% of trials. Projected score: IND 98 - CHI 87.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 80.0
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.5
ORtg: 127.8
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 118.0
DRtg: 112.0
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 110.8
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
45.3% / 42.3%
3-Point %
35.6% / 31.2%
Free Throw %
77.8% / 77.5%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Indiana Fever
Chicago Sky
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Indiana Fever
L
vs Las Vegas Aces
84 - 86
|
Aug 06, 2026
L
@ Minnesota Lynx
100 - 108
|
Aug 02, 2026
W
@ Portland Fire
112 - 98
|
Jul 31, 2026
W
@ Seattle Storm
105 - 95
|
Jul 28, 2026
W
vs Connecticut Sun
123 - 88
|
Jul 22, 2026
Chicago Sky
W
vs Los Angeles Sparks
95 - 88
|
Aug 05, 2026
L
vs Phoenix Mercury
101 - 106
|
Aug 03, 2026
W
vs Las Vegas Aces
84 - 83
|
Aug 01, 2026
W
vs Connecticut Sun
94 - 88
|
Jul 30, 2026
L
@ New York Liberty
94 - 95
|
Jul 22, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Indiana Fever defeated Chicago Sky
114 - 106
|
Jun 11, 2026