WNBA
Monday, August 10 at 08:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
TOR
Toronto Tempo
Away
10-22 (4-11 Away)
Last 5 Form
L
L
L
L
L
Projected Final Score
87.5
—
93.4
Projected Total: 180.9 (O/U: 187.7)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
TOR: +635
|
ATL: -995
ATL
Atlanta Dream
Home
20-12 (12-5 Home)
Last 5 Form
W
W
L
W
L
Simulated Outcome Probability
Toronto Tempo Win Prob
34.2%
+20.6% Value Edge
Atlanta Dream Win Prob
65.8%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Atlanta Dream to win outright in 65.8% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: TOR +15.0 / ATL -15.0
TOR covers
(-110)
+22.0% Edge
74.4%
ATL covers
(-110)
25.6%
Total
O/U: 187.7
OVER
(-110)
31.9%
UNDER
(-110)
+15.7% Edge
68.1%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 80.0 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: ATL holds an Offensive Rating of 122.2 vs TOR's Defensive Rating of 118.3.
- • 📊 Season Records: ATL is 19-12 (Home: 11-5) vs TOR 10-21 (Away: 4-10).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: ATL factor: 1.022 | TOR factor: 0.95 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Atlanta Dream winning outright in 65.8% of trials. Projected score: TOR 88 - ATL 93.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 80.5
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.2
ORtg: 113.3
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 118.6
DRtg: 112.7
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 107.2
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
44.5% / 40.9%
3-Point %
34.0% / 30.8%
Free Throw %
79.0% / 77.8%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Toronto Tempo
Atlanta Dream
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Toronto Tempo
L
@ Portland Fire
83 - 97
|
Aug 06, 2026
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
81 - 92
|
Aug 04, 2026
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
79 - 96
|
Aug 02, 2026
L
vs Minnesota Lynx
72 - 104
|
Jul 30, 2026
L
@ Minnesota Lynx
93 - 100
|
Jul 28, 2026
Atlanta Dream
L
@ Washington Mystics
74 - 79
|
Aug 07, 2026
W
vs Phoenix Mercury
96 - 82
|
Aug 05, 2026
L
vs Las Vegas Aces
87 - 109
|
Aug 03, 2026
W
vs Seattle Storm
98 - 89
|
Jul 31, 2026
W
@ Dallas Wings
82 - 81
|
Jul 29, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Away
Atlanta Dream defeated Toronto Tempo
111 - 92
|
Jul 17, 2026
Home
Atlanta Dream defeated Toronto Tempo
94 - 87
|
Jun 22, 2026
Away
Atlanta Dream defeated Toronto Tempo
102 - 77
|
Jun 14, 2026