WNBA Monday, August 10 at 10:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
CHI

Chicago Sky

Away

12-21 (4-12 Away)

Last 5 Form
W W L W L
Projected Final Score
88.8 84.0
Projected Total: 172.8 (O/U: 179.1)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
CHI: -135 | SEA: +115
SEA

Seattle Storm

Home

7-28 (5-11 Home)

Last 5 Form
L L L L L

Simulated Outcome Probability

Chicago Sky Win Prob
63.3%
+5.9% Value Edge
Seattle Storm Win Prob
36.7%
No Value Edge

Our 10,000 iterations project the Chicago Sky to win outright in 63.3% of simulated game-runs.

Simulator Cover Probability

Spread Line: CHI -2.0 / SEA +2.0
CHI covers (-115) +5.7% Edge 59.2%
SEA covers (-105) 40.8%
Total O/U: 179.1
OVER (-110) 31.5%
UNDER (-110) +16.1% Edge 68.5%

Model Simulation Deciders

  • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 79.4 possessions per 40 minutes.
  • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: SEA holds an Offensive Rating of 109.8 vs CHI's Defensive Rating of 109.3.
  • 📊 Season Records: SEA is 6-28 (Home: 4-11) vs CHI 12-20 (Away: 4-11).
  • 🔥 Momentum Factors: SEA factor: 0.95 | CHI factor: 1.022 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).

VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis

Best Bet

Our 10,000 simulations project the Chicago Sky winning outright in 63.3% of trials. Projected score: CHI 89 - SEA 84.

WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits

📊 Statistical Comparison

Pace: 78.5 Possessions per 40 min Pace: 81.0
ORtg: 116.2 Offensive Rating ORtg: 116.3
DRtg: 111.9 Defensive Rating (Lower is Better) DRtg: 106.9

🎯 Shooting Splits

Field Goal %
42.3% / 43.5%
3-Point %
31.2% / 28.8%
Free Throw %
77.5% / 78.8%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.

Top Team Performers

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Chicago Sky

Seattle Storm

Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)

Chicago Sky

L vs Indiana Fever
86 - 90 | Aug 08, 2026
W vs Los Angeles Sparks
95 - 88 | Aug 05, 2026
L vs Phoenix Mercury
101 - 106 | Aug 03, 2026
W vs Las Vegas Aces
84 - 83 | Aug 01, 2026
W vs Connecticut Sun
94 - 88 | Jul 30, 2026

Seattle Storm

L @ Portland Fire
93 - 100 | Aug 08, 2026
L @ New York Liberty
86 - 92 | Aug 05, 2026
L @ New York Liberty
83 - 95 | Aug 03, 2026
L @ Atlanta Dream
89 - 98 | Jul 31, 2026
L vs Indiana Fever
95 - 105 | Jul 28, 2026

Head-to-Head History

Home Chicago Sky defeated Seattle Storm
95 - 90 | Jul 15, 2026

Injury Reports

Chicago Sky 4 reported

G DiJonai Carrington
Out
G Natasha Cloud
Out
G Skylar Diggins
Out
F Rickea Jackson
Out

Seattle Storm 2 reported

G Natisha Hiedeman
Out
G Flau'jae Johnson
Day-To-Day