WNBA
Wednesday, August 12 at 08:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
TOR
Toronto Tempo
Away
10-23 (4-12 Away)
Last 5 Form
L
L
L
L
L
Projected Final Score
91.7
—
93.7
Projected Total: 185.4 (O/U: 183.9)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
TOR: +370
|
DAL: -495
DAL
Dallas Wings
Home
20-14 (10-6 Home)
Last 5 Form
L
W
L
L
L
Simulated Outcome Probability
Toronto Tempo Win Prob
44.4%
+23.1% Value Edge
Dallas Wings Win Prob
55.6%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Dallas Wings to win outright in 55.6% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: TOR +9.9 / DAL -9.9
TOR covers
(-110)
+17.1% Edge
69.5%
DAL covers
(-110)
30.5%
Total
O/U: 183.9
OVER
(-110)
+2.9% Edge
55.3%
UNDER
(-110)
44.7%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 81.6 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: DAL holds an Offensive Rating of 108.1 vs TOR's Defensive Rating of 118.9.
- • 📊 Season Records: DAL is 19-14 (Home: 9-6) vs TOR 10-22 (Away: 4-11).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: DAL factor: 0.994 | TOR factor: 0.95 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Dallas Wings winning outright in 55.6% of trials. Projected score: TOR 92 - DAL 94.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 80.5
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 80.1
ORtg: 114.3
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 107.1
DRtg: 113.3
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 108.7
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
44.5% / 44.6%
3-Point %
34.0% / 32.2%
Free Throw %
79.0% / 80.5%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Toronto Tempo
Dallas Wings
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Toronto Tempo
L
@ Atlanta Dream
95 - 107
|
Aug 10, 2026
L
@ Portland Fire
83 - 97
|
Aug 06, 2026
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
81 - 92
|
Aug 04, 2026
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
79 - 96
|
Aug 02, 2026
L
vs Minnesota Lynx
72 - 104
|
Jul 30, 2026
Dallas Wings
L
@ Minnesota Lynx
90 - 103
|
Aug 09, 2026
L
vs Golden State Valkyries
76 - 94
|
Aug 07, 2026
L
@ Washington Mystics
92 - 96
|
Aug 05, 2026
W
vs Connecticut Sun
83 - 63
|
Aug 02, 2026
L
@ Washington Mystics
75 - 81
|
Jul 31, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Away
Dallas Wings defeated Toronto Tempo
108 - 95
|
Jul 10, 2026
Away
Dallas Wings defeated Toronto Tempo
89 - 76
|
Jul 05, 2026