WNBA
Wednesday, August 12 at 10:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
CHI
Chicago Sky
Away
12-22 (4-13 Away)
Last 5 Form
W
L
W
L
L
Projected Final Score
79.7
—
89.1
Projected Total: 168.8 (O/U: 166.3)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
CHI: +310
|
GSV: -400
GSV
Golden State Valkyries
Home
24-9 (14-4 Home)
Last 5 Form
L
W
W
W
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Chicago Sky Win Prob
25.0%
+0.6% Value Edge
Golden State Valkyries Win Prob
75.0%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Golden State Valkyries to win outright in 75.0% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: CHI +8.5 / GSV -8.5
CHI covers
(-110)
47.6%
GSV covers
(-110)
52.4%
Total
O/U: 166.3
OVER
(-110)
+3.1% Edge
55.5%
UNDER
(-110)
44.5%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 77.6 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: GSV holds an Offensive Rating of 108.4 vs CHI's Defensive Rating of 113.1.
- • 📊 Season Records: GSV is 23-9 (Home: 13-4) vs CHI 12-21 (Away: 4-12).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: GSV factor: 1.03 | CHI factor: 0.99 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Golden State Valkyries winning outright in 75.0% of trials. Projected score: CHI 80 - GSV 89.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 78.5
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 79.2
ORtg: 116.3
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 107.0
DRtg: 112.1
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 96.0
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
42.3% / 44.9%
3-Point %
31.2% / 34.5%
Free Throw %
77.5% / 79.2%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Chicago Sky
Golden State Valkyries
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Chicago Sky
L
@ Seattle Storm
88 - 97
|
Aug 10, 2026
L
vs Indiana Fever
86 - 90
|
Aug 08, 2026
W
vs Los Angeles Sparks
95 - 88
|
Aug 05, 2026
L
vs Phoenix Mercury
101 - 106
|
Aug 03, 2026
W
vs Las Vegas Aces
84 - 83
|
Aug 01, 2026
Golden State Valkyries
W
@ Los Angeles Sparks
84 - 78
|
Aug 09, 2026
W
@ Dallas Wings
94 - 76
|
Aug 07, 2026
W
vs Toronto Tempo
92 - 81
|
Aug 04, 2026
W
vs Toronto Tempo
96 - 79
|
Aug 02, 2026
L
@ Phoenix Mercury
89 - 91
|
Jul 29, 2026