WNBA
Friday, August 14 at 07:30 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
DAL
Dallas Wings
Away
20-15 (10-9 Away)
Last 5 Form
W
L
L
L
W
Projected Final Score
85.5
—
97.8
Projected Total: 183.3 (O/U: 185.7)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
DAL: +265
|
IND: -340
IND
Indiana Fever
Home
22-12 (13-6 Home)
Last 5 Form
W
L
L
W
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Dallas Wings Win Prob
19.3%
No Value Edge
Indiana Fever Win Prob
80.7%
+3.4% Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Indiana Fever to win outright in 80.7% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: DAL +8.1 / IND -8.1
DAL covers
(-110)
39.0%
IND covers
(-110)
+8.6% Edge
61.0%
Total
O/U: 185.7
OVER
(-110)
43.8%
UNDER
(-110)
+3.8% Edge
56.2%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 79.4 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: IND holds an Offensive Rating of 131.8 vs DAL's Defensive Rating of 110.1.
- • 📊 Season Records: IND is 21-12 (Home: 12-6) vs DAL 20-14 (Away: 10-8).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: IND factor: 1.01 | DAL factor: 0.99 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Indiana Fever winning outright in 80.7% of trials. Projected score: DAL 86 - IND 98.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 80.1
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 80.0
ORtg: 107.6
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 128.6
DRtg: 109.1
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 111.3
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
44.6% / 45.3%
3-Point %
32.2% / 35.6%
Free Throw %
80.5% / 77.8%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Dallas Wings
Indiana Fever
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Dallas Wings
W
vs Toronto Tempo
94 - 88
|
Aug 12, 2026
L
@ Minnesota Lynx
90 - 103
|
Aug 09, 2026
L
vs Golden State Valkyries
76 - 94
|
Aug 07, 2026
L
@ Washington Mystics
92 - 96
|
Aug 05, 2026
W
vs Connecticut Sun
83 - 63
|
Aug 02, 2026
Indiana Fever
W
vs New York Liberty
106 - 92
|
Aug 11, 2026
W
@ Chicago Sky
90 - 86
|
Aug 08, 2026
L
vs Las Vegas Aces
84 - 86
|
Aug 06, 2026
L
@ Minnesota Lynx
100 - 108
|
Aug 02, 2026
W
@ Portland Fire
112 - 98
|
Jul 31, 2026