WNBA
Saturday, August 15 at 07:30 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
LA
Los Angeles Sparks
Away
12-22 (7-11 Away)
Last 5 Form
L
W
L
L
L
Projected Final Score
81.4
—
90.9
Projected Total: 172.3 (O/U: 171.6)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
LA: +215
|
WSH: -265
WSH
Washington Mystics
Home
20-14 (12-6 Home)
Last 5 Form
W
W
W
L
L
Simulated Outcome Probability
Los Angeles Sparks Win Prob
24.5%
No Value Edge
Washington Mystics Win Prob
75.6%
+3.0% Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Washington Mystics to win outright in 75.6% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: LA +6.4 / WSH -6.4
LA covers
(-110)
41.3%
WSH covers
(-110)
+6.3% Edge
58.7%
Total
O/U: 171.6
OVER
(-110)
51.4%
UNDER
(-110)
48.6%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • ๐ Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 79.0 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • ๐ Offensive/Defensive Ratings: WSH holds an Offensive Rating of 111.2 vs LA's Defensive Rating of 112.9.
- • ๐ Season Records: WSH is 19-14 (Home: 11-6) vs LA 12-21 (Away: 7-10).
- • ๐ฅ Momentum Factors: WSH factor: 0.992 | LA factor: 0.994 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Washington Mystics winning outright in 75.6% of trials. Projected score: LA 81 - WSH 91.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
๐ Statistical Comparison
Pace: 78.8
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.6
ORtg: 104.4
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 111.7
DRtg: 112.3
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 101.0
๐ฏ Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
42.5% / 43.3%
3-Point %
32.5% / 36.8%
Free Throw %
76.8% / 76.2%
โก Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Los Angeles Sparks
Washington Mystics
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Los Angeles Sparks
L
@ New York Liberty
81 - 85
|
Aug 13, 2026
L
vs Phoenix Mercury
87 - 94
|
Aug 11, 2026
L
vs Golden State Valkyries
78 - 84
|
Aug 09, 2026
W
@ Minnesota Lynx
89 - 82
|
Aug 06, 2026
L
@ Chicago Sky
88 - 95
|
Aug 05, 2026
Washington Mystics
L
@ Las Vegas Aces
76 - 83
|
Aug 13, 2026
L
@ Las Vegas Aces
76 - 86
|
Aug 11, 2026
W
vs Phoenix Mercury
95 - 75
|
Aug 09, 2026
W
vs Atlanta Dream
79 - 74
|
Aug 07, 2026
W
vs Dallas Wings
96 - 92
|
Aug 05, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Away
Los Angeles Sparks defeated Washington Mystics
92 - 87
|
May 29, 2026
Injury Reports
Los Angeles Sparks 2 reported
Washington Mystics 0 reported
No major injuries reported.