WNBA
Sunday, August 16 at 05:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
CHI
Chicago Sky
Away
13-22 (5-13 Away)
Last 5 Form
L
W
L
L
L
Projected Final Score
85.1
—
87.0
Projected Total: 172.1 (O/U: 177.1)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
CHI: -140
|
SEA: +120
SEA
Seattle Storm
Home
7-30 (5-13 Home)
Last 5 Form
L
L
L
W
L
Simulated Outcome Probability
Chicago Sky Win Prob
43.8%
No Value Edge
Seattle Storm Win Prob
56.2%
+10.7% Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Seattle Storm to win outright in 56.2% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: CHI -2.4 / SEA +2.4
CHI covers
(-110)
37.9%
SEA covers
(-110)
+9.7% Edge
62.1%
Total
O/U: 177.1
OVER
(-110)
34.7%
UNDER
(-110)
+12.9% Edge
65.3%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 79.5 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: SEA holds an Offensive Rating of 113.7 vs CHI's Defensive Rating of 113.7.
- • 📊 Season Records: SEA is 7-29 (Home: 5-12) vs CHI 12-22 (Away: 4-13).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: SEA factor: 0.979 | CHI factor: 0.979 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Seattle Storm winning outright in 56.2% of trials. Projected score: CHI 85 - SEA 87.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 78.5
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 81.0
ORtg: 113.6
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 116.5
DRtg: 111.2
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 106.7
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
42.3% / 43.5%
3-Point %
31.2% / 28.8%
Free Throw %
77.5% / 78.8%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Chicago Sky
Seattle Storm
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Chicago Sky
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
71 - 91
|
Aug 12, 2026
L
@ Seattle Storm
88 - 97
|
Aug 10, 2026
L
vs Indiana Fever
86 - 90
|
Aug 08, 2026
W
vs Los Angeles Sparks
95 - 88
|
Aug 05, 2026
L
vs Phoenix Mercury
101 - 106
|
Aug 03, 2026
Seattle Storm
L
vs Portland Fire
82 - 84
|
Aug 14, 2026
W
vs Chicago Sky
97 - 88
|
Aug 10, 2026
L
@ Portland Fire
93 - 100
|
Aug 08, 2026
L
@ New York Liberty
86 - 92
|
Aug 05, 2026
L
@ New York Liberty
83 - 95
|
Aug 03, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Seattle Storm defeated Chicago Sky
97 - 88
|
Aug 10, 2026
Home
Chicago Sky defeated Seattle Storm
95 - 90
|
Jul 15, 2026