WNBA
Sunday, August 16 at 05:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
IND
Indiana Fever
Away
23-12 (10-6 Away)
Last 5 Form
L
L
W
W
W
Projected Final Score
93.1
—
87.9
Projected Total: 181.0 (O/U: 187.4)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
IND: +110
|
ATL: -130
ATL
Atlanta Dream
Home
21-13 (12-6 Home)
Last 5 Form
L
W
L
W
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Indiana Fever Win Prob
64.5%
+16.9% Value Edge
Atlanta Dream Win Prob
35.6%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Indiana Fever to win outright in 64.5% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: IND +2.1 / ATL -2.1
IND covers
(-110)
+17.4% Edge
69.8%
ATL covers
(-110)
30.2%
Total
O/U: 187.4
OVER
(-110)
31.8%
UNDER
(-110)
+15.8% Edge
68.2%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 78.0 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: ATL holds an Offensive Rating of 121.2 vs IND's Defensive Rating of 109.8.
- • 📊 Season Records: ATL is 21-12 (Home: 12-5) vs IND 22-12 (Away: 9-6).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: ATL factor: 1.012 | IND factor: 1.002 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Indiana Fever winning outright in 64.5% of trials. Projected score: IND 93 - ATL 88.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 80.0
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.2
ORtg: 126.0
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 121.7
DRtg: 111.4
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 107.7
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
45.3% / 40.9%
3-Point %
35.6% / 30.8%
Free Throw %
77.8% / 77.8%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Indiana Fever
Atlanta Dream
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Indiana Fever
W
vs Dallas Wings
98 - 87
|
Aug 14, 2026
W
vs New York Liberty
106 - 92
|
Aug 11, 2026
W
@ Chicago Sky
90 - 86
|
Aug 08, 2026
L
vs Las Vegas Aces
84 - 86
|
Aug 06, 2026
L
@ Minnesota Lynx
100 - 108
|
Aug 02, 2026
Atlanta Dream
W
@ Connecticut Sun
104 - 69
|
Aug 13, 2026
W
vs Toronto Tempo
107 - 95
|
Aug 10, 2026
L
@ Washington Mystics
74 - 79
|
Aug 07, 2026
W
vs Phoenix Mercury
96 - 82
|
Aug 05, 2026
L
vs Las Vegas Aces
87 - 109
|
Aug 03, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Atlanta Dream defeated Indiana Fever
113 - 96
|
Jun 20, 2026
Away
Atlanta Dream defeated Indiana Fever
108 - 101
|
Jun 18, 2026
Home
Indiana Fever defeated Atlanta Dream
83 - 71
|
Jun 04, 2026