WNBA
Monday, August 17 at 10:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
DAL
Dallas Wings
Away
20-16 (10-10 Away)
Last 5 Form
L
L
L
W
L
Projected Final Score
77.6
—
90.1
Projected Total: 167.7 (O/U: 161.5)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
DAL: +215
|
GSV: -270
GSV
Golden State Valkyries
Home
25-9 (15-4 Home)
Last 5 Form
W
W
W
W
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Dallas Wings Win Prob
18.3%
No Value Edge
Golden State Valkyries Win Prob
81.7%
+8.7% Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Golden State Valkyries to win outright in 81.7% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: DAL +6.5 / GSV -6.5
DAL covers
(-110)
33.2%
GSV covers
(-110)
+14.4% Edge
66.8%
Total
O/U: 161.5
OVER
(-110)
+14.0% Edge
66.4%
UNDER
(-110)
33.6%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 78.3 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: GSV holds an Offensive Rating of 111.1 vs DAL's Defensive Rating of 113.7.
- • 📊 Season Records: GSV is 24-9 (Home: 14-4) vs DAL 20-15 (Away: 10-9).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: GSV factor: 1.05 | DAL factor: 0.964 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Golden State Valkyries winning outright in 81.7% of trials. Projected score: DAL 78 - GSV 90.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 80.1
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 79.2
ORtg: 108.0
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 107.7
DRtg: 109.9
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 96.1
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
44.6% / 44.9%
3-Point %
32.2% / 34.5%
Free Throw %
80.5% / 79.2%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Dallas Wings
Golden State Valkyries
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Dallas Wings
L
@ Indiana Fever
87 - 98
|
Aug 14, 2026
W
vs Toronto Tempo
94 - 88
|
Aug 12, 2026
L
@ Minnesota Lynx
90 - 103
|
Aug 09, 2026
L
vs Golden State Valkyries
76 - 94
|
Aug 07, 2026
L
@ Washington Mystics
92 - 96
|
Aug 05, 2026
Golden State Valkyries
W
vs Chicago Sky
91 - 71
|
Aug 12, 2026
W
@ Los Angeles Sparks
84 - 78
|
Aug 09, 2026
W
@ Dallas Wings
94 - 76
|
Aug 07, 2026
W
vs Toronto Tempo
92 - 81
|
Aug 04, 2026
W
vs Toronto Tempo
96 - 79
|
Aug 02, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Away
Golden State Valkyries defeated Dallas Wings
94 - 76
|
Aug 07, 2026
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Dallas Wings
91 - 80
|
Jun 17, 2026