WNBA
Wednesday, August 19 at 07:30 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
TOR
Toronto Tempo
Away
10-24 (4-12 Away)
Last 5 Form
L
L
L
L
L
Projected Final Score
83.0
—
93.4
Projected Total: 176.4 (O/U: 168.0)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
TOR: +620
|
WSH: -970
WSH
Washington Mystics
Home
20-14 (12-6 Home)
Last 5 Form
W
W
L
L
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Toronto Tempo Win Prob
22.8%
+8.9% Value Edge
Washington Mystics Win Prob
77.2%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Washington Mystics to win outright in 77.2% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: TOR +13.5 / WSH -13.5
TOR covers
(-110)
+6.2% Edge
58.6%
WSH covers
(-110)
41.4%
Total
O/U: 168.0
OVER
(-110)
+19.5% Edge
71.9%
UNDER
(-110)
28.1%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 78.7 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: WSH holds an Offensive Rating of 112.2 vs TOR's Defensive Rating of 119.4.
- • 📊 Season Records: WSH is 20-14 (Home: 12-6) vs TOR 10-24 (Away: 4-12).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: WSH factor: 1.022 | TOR factor: 0.95 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Washington Mystics winning outright in 77.2% of trials. Projected score: TOR 83 - WSH 93.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 80.5
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.6
ORtg: 112.6
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 110.9
DRtg: 113.7
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 100.7
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
44.5% / 43.3%
3-Point %
34.0% / 36.8%
Free Throw %
79.0% / 76.2%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Toronto Tempo
Washington Mystics
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Toronto Tempo
L
vs Indiana Fever
95 - 101
|
Aug 18, 2026
L
@ Dallas Wings
88 - 94
|
Aug 12, 2026
L
@ Atlanta Dream
95 - 107
|
Aug 10, 2026
L
@ Portland Fire
83 - 97
|
Aug 06, 2026
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
81 - 92
|
Aug 04, 2026
Washington Mystics
W
vs Los Angeles Sparks
80 - 70
|
Aug 15, 2026
L
@ Las Vegas Aces
76 - 83
|
Aug 13, 2026
L
@ Las Vegas Aces
76 - 86
|
Aug 11, 2026
W
vs Phoenix Mercury
95 - 75
|
Aug 09, 2026
W
vs Atlanta Dream
79 - 74
|
Aug 07, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Away
Washington Mystics defeated Toronto Tempo
79 - 62
|
Jul 14, 2026
Home
Washington Mystics defeated Toronto Tempo
86 - 85
|
Jun 12, 2026
Injury Reports
Toronto Tempo 6 reported
Washington Mystics 0 reported
No major injuries reported.