WNBA
Wednesday, August 19 at 10:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
MIN
Minnesota Lynx
Away
29-7 (15-2 Away)
Last 5 Form
L
W
W
W
W
Projected Final Score
88.9
—
81.3
Projected Total: 170.2 (O/U: 163.5)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
MIN: -145
|
GSV: +120
GSV
Golden State Valkyries
Home
25-9 (15-4 Home)
Last 5 Form
W
W
W
W
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Minnesota Lynx Win Prob
71.1%
+11.9% Value Edge
Golden State Valkyries Win Prob
28.9%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Minnesota Lynx to win outright in 71.1% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: MIN -2.5 / GSV +2.5
MIN covers
(-110)
+12.9% Edge
65.3%
GSV covers
(-110)
34.7%
Total
O/U: 163.5
OVER
(-110)
+15.1% Edge
67.5%
UNDER
(-110)
32.5%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 75.6 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: GSV holds an Offensive Rating of 105.7 vs MIN's Defensive Rating of 99.7.
- • 📊 Season Records: GSV is 25-9 (Home: 15-4) vs MIN 29-7 (Away: 15-2).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: GSV factor: 1.02 | MIN factor: 1.036 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Minnesota Lynx winning outright in 71.1% of trials. Projected score: MIN 89 - GSV 81.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 78.0
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 79.2
ORtg: 126.6
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 107.7
DRtg: 104.0
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 95.9
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
44.8% / 44.9%
3-Point %
38.0% / 34.5%
Free Throw %
78.5% / 79.2%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
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Minnesota Lynx
Golden State Valkyries
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Minnesota Lynx
W
@ Las Vegas Aces
92 - 87
|
Aug 15, 2026
W
@ Portland Fire
85 - 81
|
Aug 12, 2026
W
vs Dallas Wings
103 - 90
|
Aug 09, 2026
W
vs Las Vegas Aces
98 - 87
|
Aug 08, 2026
L
vs Los Angeles Sparks
82 - 89
|
Aug 06, 2026
Golden State Valkyries
W
vs Dallas Wings
78 - 70
|
Aug 17, 2026
W
vs Chicago Sky
91 - 71
|
Aug 12, 2026
W
@ Los Angeles Sparks
84 - 78
|
Aug 09, 2026
W
@ Dallas Wings
94 - 76
|
Aug 07, 2026
W
vs Toronto Tempo
92 - 81
|
Aug 04, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Away
Minnesota Lynx defeated Golden State Valkyries
81 - 75
|
Jun 19, 2026
Home
Minnesota Lynx defeated Golden State Valkyries
87 - 84
|
Jun 04, 2026