WNBA
Friday, August 21 at 07:30 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
GSV
Golden State Valkyries
Away
25-11 (10-6 Away)
Last 5 Form
W
W
W
W
W
Projected Final Score
89.5
—
79.5
Projected Total: 169.0 (O/U: 169.5)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
GSV: -405
|
CHI: +320
CHI
Chicago Sky
Home
15-22 (10-9 Home)
Last 5 Form
L
L
L
W
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Golden State Valkyries Win Prob
76.2%
No Value Edge
Chicago Sky Win Prob
23.8%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Golden State Valkyries to win outright in 76.2% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: GSV +10.5 / CHI -10.5
GSV covers
(-110)
+40.2% Edge
92.6%
CHI covers
(-110)
7.4%
Total
O/U: 169.5
OVER
(-110)
42.7%
UNDER
(-110)
+4.9% Edge
57.3%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 78.1 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: CHI holds an Offensive Rating of 112.6 vs GSV's Defensive Rating of 91.4.
- • 📊 Season Records: CHI is 14-22 (Home: 9-9) vs GSV 25-9 (Away: 10-5).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: CHI factor: 0.978 | GSV factor: 1.05 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Golden State Valkyries winning outright in 76.2% of trials. Projected score: GSV 90 - CHI 80.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 79.2
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.5
ORtg: 107.1
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 116.4
DRtg: 96.5
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 110.6
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
44.9% / 42.3%
3-Point %
34.5% / 31.2%
Free Throw %
79.2% / 77.5%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Golden State Valkyries
Chicago Sky
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Golden State Valkyries
W
vs Dallas Wings
78 - 70
|
Aug 17, 2026
W
vs Chicago Sky
91 - 71
|
Aug 12, 2026
W
@ Los Angeles Sparks
84 - 78
|
Aug 09, 2026
W
@ Dallas Wings
94 - 76
|
Aug 07, 2026
W
vs Toronto Tempo
92 - 81
|
Aug 04, 2026
Chicago Sky
W
vs New York Liberty
93 - 86
|
Aug 18, 2026
W
@ Seattle Storm
82 - 80
|
Aug 16, 2026
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
71 - 91
|
Aug 12, 2026
L
@ Seattle Storm
88 - 97
|
Aug 10, 2026
L
vs Indiana Fever
86 - 90
|
Aug 08, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Chicago Sky
91 - 71
|
Aug 12, 2026