WNBA
Saturday, August 22 at 07:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
IND
Indiana Fever
Away
24-14 (11-8 Away)
Last 5 Form
W
W
W
W
L
Projected Final Score
96.2
—
93.3
Projected Total: 189.5 (O/U: 189.5)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
IND: -150
|
NY: +130
NY
New York Liberty
Home
23-15 (13-5 Home)
Last 5 Form
W
L
W
W
L
Simulated Outcome Probability
Indiana Fever Win Prob
57.6%
No Value Edge
New York Liberty Win Prob
42.4%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Indiana Fever to win outright in 57.6% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: IND +2.9 / NY -2.9
IND covers
(-110)
+5.2% Edge
57.6%
NY covers
(-110)
42.4%
Total
O/U: 189.5
OVER
(-110)
+45.7% Edge
98.1%
UNDER
(-110)
1.9%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 79.4 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: NY holds an Offensive Rating of 115.8 vs IND's Defensive Rating of 109.3.
- • ❌ Injury Impact: IND ratings adjusted (OffRating: -4.5, DefRating: +3.0) with Aliyah Boston ruled OUT.
- • 📊 Season Records: NY is 23-15 (Home: 13-5) vs IND 24-14 (Away: 11-8).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: NY factor: 1.002 | IND factor: 1.026 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Indiana Fever winning outright in 57.6% of trials. Projected score: IND 96 - NY 93.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 80.0
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.8
ORtg: 128.3
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 115.5
DRtg: 112.2
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 106.8
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
45.3% / 46.2%
3-Point %
35.6% / 34.9%
Free Throw %
77.8% / 82.2%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Indiana Fever
New York Liberty
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Indiana Fever
L
@ Dallas Wings
85 - 91
|
Aug 20, 2026
W
@ Toronto Tempo
101 - 95
|
Aug 18, 2026
W
@ Atlanta Dream
95 - 91
|
Aug 16, 2026
W
vs Dallas Wings
98 - 87
|
Aug 14, 2026
W
vs New York Liberty
106 - 92
|
Aug 11, 2026
New York Liberty
L
@ Chicago Sky
86 - 93
|
Aug 18, 2026
W
@ Connecticut Sun
82 - 75
|
Aug 15, 2026
W
vs Los Angeles Sparks
85 - 81
|
Aug 13, 2026
L
@ Indiana Fever
92 - 106
|
Aug 11, 2026
W
vs Las Vegas Aces
111 - 71
|
Aug 09, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Indiana Fever defeated New York Liberty
106 - 92
|
Aug 11, 2026
Home
Indiana Fever defeated New York Liberty
108 - 88
|
Jul 18, 2026
Home
New York Liberty defeated Indiana Fever
83 - 75
|
Jun 06, 2026