WNBA Sunday, August 23 at 04:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
SEA

Seattle Storm

Away

7-31 (2-18 Away)

Last 5 Form
L L W L L
Projected Final Score
85.3 88.6
Projected Total: 173.9 (O/U: 174.5)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
SEA: +305 | DAL: -420
DAL

Dallas Wings

Home

22-16 (12-6 Home)

Last 5 Form
L W L L W

Simulated Outcome Probability

Seattle Storm Win Prob
41.0%
+16.3% Value Edge
Dallas Wings Win Prob
59.0%
No Value Edge

Our 10,000 iterations project the Dallas Wings to win outright in 59.0% of simulated game-runs.

Simulator Cover Probability

Spread Line: SEA +8.8 / DAL -8.8
SEA covers (-115) +10.8% Edge 64.3%
DAL covers (-110) 35.8%
Total O/U: 174.5
OVER (-110) 47.4%
UNDER (-115) 52.6%

Model Simulation Deciders

  • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 80.2 possessions per 40 minutes.
  • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: DAL holds an Offensive Rating of 107.5 vs SEA's Defensive Rating of 111.2.
  • 📊 Season Records: DAL is 21-16 (Home: 11-6) vs SEA 7-30 (Away: 2-17).
  • 🔥 Momentum Factors: DAL factor: 1.008 | SEA factor: 0.964 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).

VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis

Best Bet

Our 10,000 simulations project the Dallas Wings winning outright in 59.0% of trials. Projected score: SEA 85 - DAL 89.

WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits

📊 Statistical Comparison

Pace: 81.0 Possessions per 40 min Pace: 80.1
ORtg: 116.9 Offensive Rating ORtg: 107.2
DRtg: 107.4 Defensive Rating (Lower is Better) DRtg: 109.8

🎯 Shooting Splits

Field Goal %
43.5% / 44.6%
3-Point %
28.8% / 32.2%
Free Throw %
78.8% / 80.5%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.

Top Team Performers

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Seattle Storm

Dallas Wings

Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)

Seattle Storm

L vs Chicago Sky
80 - 82 | Aug 16, 2026
L vs Portland Fire
82 - 84 | Aug 14, 2026
W vs Chicago Sky
97 - 88 | Aug 10, 2026
L @ Portland Fire
93 - 100 | Aug 08, 2026
L @ New York Liberty
86 - 92 | Aug 05, 2026

Dallas Wings

W vs Indiana Fever
91 - 85 | Aug 20, 2026
L @ Golden State Valkyries
70 - 78 | Aug 17, 2026
L @ Indiana Fever
87 - 98 | Aug 14, 2026
W vs Toronto Tempo
94 - 88 | Aug 12, 2026
L @ Minnesota Lynx
90 - 103 | Aug 09, 2026

Head-to-Head History

Away Dallas Wings defeated Seattle Storm
112 - 110 | Jun 22, 2026
Home Dallas Wings defeated Seattle Storm
79 - 56 | Jun 01, 2026

Injury Reports

Seattle Storm 2 reported

G Natisha Hiedeman
Out
G Flau'jae Johnson
Day-To-Day

Dallas Wings 5 reported

G Azzi Fudd
Out
G Aziaha James
Out
G Haley Jones
Out
G Costanza Verona
Out
G Christyn Williams
Out