WNBA
Sunday, August 23 at 07:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
IND
Indiana Fever
Away
25-14 (12-8 Away)
Last 5 Form
W
W
W
L
L
Projected Final Score
96.5
—
86.9
Projected Total: 183.4 (O/U: 186.8)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
IND: -135
|
CHI: +115
CHI
Chicago Sky
Home
15-23 (10-10 Home)
Last 5 Form
L
L
W
W
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Indiana Fever Win Prob
75.0%
+17.6% Value Edge
Chicago Sky Win Prob
25.1%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Indiana Fever to win outright in 75.0% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: IND -2.0 / CHI +2.0
IND covers
(-110)
+19.4% Edge
71.8%
CHI covers
(-110)
28.2%
Total
O/U: 186.8
OVER
(-110)
41.0%
UNDER
(-110)
+6.6% Edge
59.0%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 78.6 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: CHI holds an Offensive Rating of 112.7 vs IND's Defensive Rating of 111.1.
- • ❌ Injury Impact: IND ratings adjusted (OffRating: -4.5, DefRating: +3.0) with Aliyah Boston ruled OUT.
- • 📊 Season Records: CHI is 15-22 (Home: 10-9) vs IND 24-14 (Away: 11-8).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: CHI factor: 0.992 | IND factor: 1.022 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Indiana Fever winning outright in 75.0% of trials. Projected score: IND 97 - CHI 87.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 80.0
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.5
ORtg: 127.6
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 114.5
DRtg: 113.6
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 109.3
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
45.3% / 42.3%
3-Point %
35.6% / 31.2%
Free Throw %
77.8% / 77.5%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Indiana Fever
Chicago Sky
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Indiana Fever
L
@ New York Liberty
102 - 109
|
Aug 22, 2026
L
@ Dallas Wings
85 - 91
|
Aug 20, 2026
W
@ Toronto Tempo
101 - 95
|
Aug 18, 2026
W
@ Atlanta Dream
95 - 91
|
Aug 16, 2026
W
vs Dallas Wings
98 - 87
|
Aug 14, 2026
Chicago Sky
W
vs Golden State Valkyries
73 - 70
|
Aug 21, 2026
W
vs New York Liberty
93 - 86
|
Aug 18, 2026
W
@ Seattle Storm
82 - 80
|
Aug 16, 2026
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
71 - 91
|
Aug 12, 2026
L
@ Seattle Storm
88 - 97
|
Aug 10, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Away
Indiana Fever defeated Chicago Sky
90 - 86
|
Aug 08, 2026
Home
Indiana Fever defeated Chicago Sky
114 - 106
|
Jun 11, 2026