WNBA
Monday, August 24 at 08:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
GSV
Golden State Valkyries
Away
26-11 (11-6 Away)
Last 5 Form
W
W
W
W
L
Projected Final Score
80.1
—
89.8
Projected Total: 169.9 (O/U: 161.4)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
GSV: +175
|
MIN: -215
MIN
Minnesota Lynx
Home
31-8 (14-6 Home)
Last 5 Form
W
W
W
W
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Golden State Valkyries Win Prob
24.7%
No Value Edge
Minnesota Lynx Win Prob
75.3%
+7.0% Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Minnesota Lynx to win outright in 75.3% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: GSV +4.8 / MIN -4.8
GSV covers
(-105)
35.3%
MIN covers
(-115)
+11.2% Edge
64.7%
Total
O/U: 161.4
OVER
(-110)
+19.3% Edge
71.7%
UNDER
(-110)
28.3%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 75.7 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: MIN holds an Offensive Rating of 128.1 vs GSV's Defensive Rating of 96.1.
- • ❌ Injury Impact: MIN ratings adjusted (OffRating: -3.8, DefRating: +1.2) with Courtney Williams ruled OUT.
- • 📊 Season Records: MIN is 31-7 (Home: 14-5) vs GSV 25-11 (Away: 10-6).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: MIN factor: 1.05 | GSV factor: 1.006 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Minnesota Lynx winning outright in 75.3% of trials. Projected score: GSV 80 - MIN 90.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 79.2
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.0
ORtg: 106.9
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 126.4
DRtg: 96.6
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 104.7
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
44.9% / 44.8%
3-Point %
34.5% / 38.0%
Free Throw %
79.2% / 78.5%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Golden State Valkyries
Minnesota Lynx
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Golden State Valkyries
L
@ Chicago Sky
70 - 73
|
Aug 21, 2026
W
vs Dallas Wings
78 - 70
|
Aug 17, 2026
W
vs Chicago Sky
91 - 71
|
Aug 12, 2026
W
@ Los Angeles Sparks
84 - 78
|
Aug 09, 2026
W
@ Dallas Wings
94 - 76
|
Aug 07, 2026
Minnesota Lynx
W
@ Washington Mystics
94 - 84
|
Aug 21, 2026
W
@ Las Vegas Aces
92 - 87
|
Aug 15, 2026
W
@ Portland Fire
85 - 81
|
Aug 12, 2026
W
vs Dallas Wings
103 - 90
|
Aug 09, 2026
W
vs Las Vegas Aces
98 - 87
|
Aug 08, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Away
Minnesota Lynx defeated Golden State Valkyries
81 - 75
|
Jun 19, 2026
Home
Minnesota Lynx defeated Golden State Valkyries
87 - 84
|
Jun 04, 2026