WNBA
Monday, August 24 at 10:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
ATL
Atlanta Dream
Away
25-13 (13-7 Away)
Last 5 Form
W
L
W
W
W
Projected Final Score
93.6
—
80.6
Projected Total: 174.2 (O/U: 181.8)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
ATL: -600
|
LA: +430
LA
Los Angeles Sparks
Home
13-25 (6-13 Home)
Last 5 Form
L
L
L
L
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Atlanta Dream Win Prob
82.6%
No Value Edge
Los Angeles Sparks Win Prob
17.5%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Atlanta Dream to win outright in 82.6% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: ATL -10.5 / LA +10.5
ATL covers
(-110)
+4.7% Edge
57.1%
LA covers
(-110)
42.9%
Total
O/U: 181.8
OVER
(-110)
30.3%
UNDER
(-110)
+17.3% Edge
69.7%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • ๐ Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 78.8 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • ๐ Offensive/Defensive Ratings: LA holds an Offensive Rating of 98.8 vs ATL's Defensive Rating of 103.9.
- • ๐ Season Records: LA is 13-24 (Home: 6-12) vs ATL 24-13 (Away: 12-7).
- • ๐ฅ Momentum Factors: LA factor: 0.964 | ATL factor: 1.036 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Atlanta Dream winning outright in 82.6% of trials. Projected score: ATL 94 - LA 81.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
๐ Statistical Comparison
Pace: 78.2
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.8
ORtg: 125.6
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 102.0
DRtg: 107.7
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 112.3
๐ฏ Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
40.9% / 42.5%
3-Point %
30.8% / 32.5%
Free Throw %
77.8% / 76.8%
โก Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Atlanta Dream
Los Angeles Sparks
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Atlanta Dream
W
@ Phoenix Mercury
99 - 89
|
Aug 22, 2026
W
@ Los Angeles Sparks
124 - 88
|
Aug 20, 2026
W
@ Las Vegas Aces
97 - 82
|
Aug 18, 2026
L
vs Indiana Fever
91 - 95
|
Aug 16, 2026
W
@ Connecticut Sun
104 - 69
|
Aug 13, 2026
Los Angeles Sparks
W
vs Connecticut Sun
77 - 68
|
Aug 22, 2026
L
vs Atlanta Dream
88 - 124
|
Aug 20, 2026
L
@ Connecticut Sun
77 - 85
|
Aug 18, 2026
L
@ Washington Mystics
70 - 80
|
Aug 15, 2026
L
@ New York Liberty
81 - 85
|
Aug 13, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Away
Atlanta Dream defeated Los Angeles Sparks
124 - 88
|
Aug 20, 2026
Home
Atlanta Dream defeated Los Angeles Sparks
101 - 92
|
Jul 13, 2026