WNBA
Tuesday, August 25 at 07:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
CHI
Chicago Sky
Away
15-24 (5-14 Away)
Last 5 Form
L
W
W
W
L
Projected Final Score
84.3
—
85.1
Projected Total: 169.4 (O/U: 170.6)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
CHI: -265
|
CON: +210
CON
Connecticut Sun
Home
10-27 (7-12 Home)
Last 5 Form
L
L
W
L
L
Simulated Outcome Probability
Chicago Sky Win Prob
47.7%
No Value Edge
Connecticut Sun Win Prob
52.3%
+20.0% Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Connecticut Sun to win outright in 52.3% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: CHI -6.5 / CON +6.5
CHI covers
(-115)
30.2%
CON covers
(-105)
+18.6% Edge
69.8%
Total
O/U: 170.6
OVER
(-110)
46.6%
UNDER
(-110)
+1.0% Edge
53.4%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 77.2 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: CON holds an Offensive Rating of 108.6 vs CHI's Defensive Rating of 109.2.
- • 📊 Season Records: CON is 9-27 (Home: 6-12) vs CHI 15-23 (Away: 5-13).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: CON factor: 0.974 | CHI factor: 1.012 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Connecticut Sun winning outright in 52.3% of trials. Projected score: CHI 84 - CON 85.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 78.5
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 76.5
ORtg: 113.3
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 112.2
DRtg: 110.6
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 106.2
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
42.3% / 44.1%
3-Point %
31.2% / 32.7%
Free Throw %
77.5% / 81.0%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Chicago Sky
Connecticut Sun
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Chicago Sky
L
vs Indiana Fever
90 - 113
|
Aug 23, 2026
W
vs Golden State Valkyries
73 - 70
|
Aug 21, 2026
W
vs New York Liberty
93 - 86
|
Aug 18, 2026
W
@ Seattle Storm
82 - 80
|
Aug 16, 2026
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
71 - 91
|
Aug 12, 2026
Connecticut Sun
L
@ Los Angeles Sparks
68 - 77
|
Aug 22, 2026
L
@ Las Vegas Aces
78 - 101
|
Aug 20, 2026
W
vs Los Angeles Sparks
85 - 77
|
Aug 18, 2026
L
vs New York Liberty
75 - 82
|
Aug 15, 2026
L
vs Atlanta Dream
69 - 104
|
Aug 13, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Chicago Sky defeated Connecticut Sun
94 - 88
|
Jul 30, 2026
Home
Connecticut Sun defeated Chicago Sky
92 - 63
|
Jun 22, 2026
Home
Chicago Sky defeated Connecticut Sun
85 - 80
|
Jun 05, 2026