WNBA
Wednesday, August 26 at 07:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
GSV
Golden State Valkyries
Away
26-11 (11-6 Away)
Last 5 Form
W
W
W
L
W
Projected Final Score
83.0
—
77.6
Projected Total: 160.6 (O/U: 151.3)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
GSV: -1005
|
CON: +635
CON
Connecticut Sun
Home
10-27 (7-12 Home)
Last 5 Form
L
W
L
L
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Golden State Valkyries Win Prob
65.8%
No Value Edge
Connecticut Sun Win Prob
34.2%
+20.6% Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Golden State Valkyries to win outright in 65.8% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: GSV -13.5 / CON +13.5
GSV covers
(-110)
27.1%
CON covers
(-110)
+20.5% Edge
72.9%
Total
O/U: 151.3
OVER
(-110)
+21.4% Edge
73.8%
UNDER
(-110)
26.2%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 75.4 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: CON holds an Offensive Rating of 108.5 vs GSV's Defensive Rating of 92.5.
- • 📊 Season Records: CON is 10-27 (Home: 7-12) vs GSV 26-11 (Away: 11-6).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: CON factor: 0.978 | GSV factor: 1.036 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Golden State Valkyries winning outright in 65.8% of trials. Projected score: GSV 83 - CON 78.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 79.2
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 76.5
ORtg: 106.6
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 114.6
DRtg: 95.9
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 106.0
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
44.9% / 44.1%
3-Point %
34.5% / 32.7%
Free Throw %
79.2% / 81.0%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Golden State Valkyries
Connecticut Sun
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Golden State Valkyries
W
@ Minnesota Lynx
80 - 66
|
Aug 24, 2026
L
@ Chicago Sky
70 - 73
|
Aug 21, 2026
W
vs Dallas Wings
78 - 70
|
Aug 17, 2026
W
vs Chicago Sky
91 - 71
|
Aug 12, 2026
W
@ Los Angeles Sparks
84 - 78
|
Aug 09, 2026
Connecticut Sun
W
vs Chicago Sky
87 - 81
|
Aug 25, 2026
L
@ Los Angeles Sparks
68 - 77
|
Aug 22, 2026
L
@ Las Vegas Aces
78 - 101
|
Aug 20, 2026
W
vs Los Angeles Sparks
85 - 77
|
Aug 18, 2026
L
vs New York Liberty
75 - 82
|
Aug 15, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Away
Golden State Valkyries defeated Connecticut Sun
79 - 64
|
Jul 10, 2026
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Connecticut Sun
97 - 70
|
May 25, 2026