WNBA
Thursday, August 27 at 08:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
GSV
Golden State Valkyries
Away
26-11 (11-6 Away)
Last 5 Form
W
W
W
L
W
Projected Final Score
85.7
—
84.4
Projected Total: 170.1 (O/U: 162.6)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
GSV: +115
|
NY: -140
NY
New York Liberty
Home
23-15 (13-5 Home)
Last 5 Form
L
W
W
L
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Golden State Valkyries Win Prob
53.9%
+7.4% Value Edge
New York Liberty Win Prob
46.1%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Golden State Valkyries to win outright in 53.9% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: GSV +2.6 / NY -2.6
GSV covers
(-110)
+7.0% Edge
59.4%
NY covers
(-110)
40.6%
Total
O/U: 162.6
OVER
(-110)
+17.5% Edge
69.9%
UNDER
(-110)
30.1%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 77.2 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: NY holds an Offensive Rating of 113.0 vs GSV's Defensive Rating of 92.5.
- • 📊 Season Records: NY is 23-15 (Home: 13-5) vs GSV 26-11 (Away: 11-6).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: NY factor: 0.992 | GSV factor: 1.036 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Golden State Valkyries winning outright in 53.9% of trials. Projected score: GSV 86 - NY 84.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 79.2
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.8
ORtg: 106.6
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 116.5
DRtg: 95.9
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 107.3
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
44.9% / 46.2%
3-Point %
34.5% / 34.9%
Free Throw %
79.2% / 82.2%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Golden State Valkyries
New York Liberty
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Golden State Valkyries
W
@ Minnesota Lynx
80 - 66
|
Aug 24, 2026
L
@ Chicago Sky
70 - 73
|
Aug 21, 2026
W
vs Dallas Wings
78 - 70
|
Aug 17, 2026
W
vs Chicago Sky
91 - 71
|
Aug 12, 2026
W
@ Los Angeles Sparks
84 - 78
|
Aug 09, 2026
New York Liberty
W
vs Indiana Fever
109 - 102
|
Aug 22, 2026
L
@ Chicago Sky
86 - 93
|
Aug 18, 2026
W
@ Connecticut Sun
82 - 75
|
Aug 15, 2026
W
vs Los Angeles Sparks
85 - 81
|
Aug 13, 2026
L
@ Indiana Fever
92 - 106
|
Aug 11, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated New York Liberty
76 - 67
|
Jun 28, 2026
Away
Golden State Valkyries defeated New York Liberty
87 - 70
|
May 21, 2026