WNBA
Saturday, August 29 at 01:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
CHI
Chicago Sky
Away
15-24 (5-14 Away)
Last 5 Form
W
W
W
L
L
Projected Final Score
84.1
—
92.7
Projected Total: 176.8 (O/U: 176.8)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
CHI: +260
|
NY: -320
NY
New York Liberty
Home
23-15 (13-5 Home)
Last 5 Form
L
W
W
L
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Chicago Sky Win Prob
26.7%
No Value Edge
New York Liberty Win Prob
73.3%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the New York Liberty to win outright in 73.3% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: CHI -8.6 / NY +8.6
CHI covers
(-110)
10.0%
NY covers
(-110)
+37.7% Edge
90.1%
Total
O/U: 176.8
OVER
(-110)
47.5%
UNDER
(-110)
+0.1% Edge
52.5%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 78.1 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: NY holds an Offensive Rating of 117.1 vs CHI's Defensive Rating of 110.3.
- • 📊 Season Records: NY is 23-15 (Home: 13-5) vs CHI 15-24 (Away: 5-14).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: NY factor: 1.012 | CHI factor: 1.002 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the New York Liberty winning outright in 73.3% of trials. Projected score: CHI 84 - NY 93.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 78.5
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.8
ORtg: 113.9
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 116.5
DRtg: 110.5
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 107.3
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
42.3% / 46.2%
3-Point %
31.2% / 34.9%
Free Throw %
77.5% / 82.2%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Chicago Sky
New York Liberty
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Chicago Sky
L
@ Connecticut Sun
81 - 87
|
Aug 25, 2026
L
vs Indiana Fever
90 - 113
|
Aug 23, 2026
W
vs Golden State Valkyries
73 - 70
|
Aug 21, 2026
W
vs New York Liberty
93 - 86
|
Aug 18, 2026
W
@ Seattle Storm
82 - 80
|
Aug 16, 2026
New York Liberty
W
vs Indiana Fever
109 - 102
|
Aug 22, 2026
L
@ Chicago Sky
86 - 93
|
Aug 18, 2026
W
@ Connecticut Sun
82 - 75
|
Aug 15, 2026
W
vs Los Angeles Sparks
85 - 81
|
Aug 13, 2026
L
@ Indiana Fever
92 - 106
|
Aug 11, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Chicago Sky defeated New York Liberty
93 - 86
|
Aug 18, 2026
Home
New York Liberty defeated Chicago Sky
95 - 94
|
Jul 22, 2026
Away
New York Liberty defeated Chicago Sky
96 - 95
|
Jun 17, 2026