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WNBA Thursday, September 17 at 08:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
WSH

Washington Mystics

Away 24-16 (11-9 Away)
L W W W L
Projected Final Score
89.6 — 80.5
CHI

Chicago Sky

Home 15-25 (10-10 Home)
W W L L L
Spread
WSH -3.6 (-110)
CHI +3.6 (-110)
Total
Posted 166.9 (-110)
Simulated 170.1
Moneyline
WSH -165
CHI +135

Simulated Outcome Probability

Washington Mystics
74.7%
Chicago Sky
25.4%
+12.4% edge at -165
No edge at +135

Our 10,000 iterations project the Washington Mystics to win outright in 74.7% of simulated game-runs.

Simulator Cover Probability

Spread Line: WSH -3.6 / CHI +3.6
WSH covers (-110) +14.4% Edge 66.8%
CHI covers (-110) 33.3%
Total O/U: 166.9
OVER (-110) +7.2% Edge 59.6%
UNDER (-110) 40.4%

Model Simulation Deciders

  • • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 77.2 possessions per 40 minutes.
  • • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: CHI holds an Offensive Rating of 108.1 vs WSH's Defensive Rating of 102.4.
  • • 📊 Season Records: CHI is 15-25 (Home: 10-10) vs WSH 24-16 (Away: 11-9).
  • • 🔥 Momentum Factors: CHI factor: 0.978 | WSH factor: 1.022 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).

VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis

Best Bet

Our 10,000 simulations project the Washington Mystics winning outright in 74.7% of trials. Projected score: WSH 90 - CHI 81.

WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits

📊 Statistical Comparison

Pace: 78.6 Possessions per 40 min Pace: 78.5
ORtg: 115.3 Offensive Rating ORtg: 112.4
DRtg: 104.7 Defensive Rating (Lower is Better) DRtg: 110.1

🎯 Shooting Splits

Field Goal %
43.3% / 42.3%
3-Point %
36.8% / 31.2%
Free Throw %
76.2% / 77.5%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.

Top Team Performers

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Washington Mystics

Chicago Sky

Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)

Washington Mystics

L @ Los Angeles Sparks
82 - 88 | Aug 28, 2026
W @ Phoenix Mercury
80 - 73 | Aug 27, 2026
W @ Phoenix Mercury
94 - 84 | Aug 25, 2026
W @ Portland Fire
105 - 100 | Aug 23, 2026
L vs Minnesota Lynx
84 - 94 | Aug 21, 2026

Chicago Sky

L @ New York Liberty
66 - 85 | Aug 29, 2026
L @ Connecticut Sun
81 - 87 | Aug 25, 2026
L vs Indiana Fever
90 - 113 | Aug 23, 2026
W vs Golden State Valkyries
73 - 70 | Aug 21, 2026
W vs New York Liberty
93 - 86 | Aug 18, 2026

Head-to-Head History

Home Washington Mystics defeated Chicago Sky
90 - 72 | Jun 02, 2026

Injury Reports

Washington Mystics 2 reported

G Georgia Amoore
Day-To-Day
G Sonia Citron
Out

Chicago Sky 4 reported

G DiJonai Carrington
Out
G Natasha Cloud
Day-To-Day
G Skylar Diggins
Out
F Rickea Jackson
Out