NHL
Monday, October 12 at 07:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
OTT
Ottawa Senators
Away
5-1-0
(3-1-0 Away)
Form
W
W
L
W
W
Projected Final Score
3.07
—
3.18
NJD
New Jersey Devils
Home
2-3-0
(2-2-0 Home)
Form
W
L
L
W
- Spread
-
OTT +1.5 (-255)NJD -1.5 (+205)
- Total
-
Posted 6.0 (-110)Simulated 6.3
- Moneyline
-
OTT -100NJD -120
Simulated Outcome Probability
Ottawa Senators
47.8%
New Jersey Devils
52.2%
No edge at -100
No edge at -120
Our 10,000 iterations project the New Jersey Devils to win outright in 52.2% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: OTT +1.5 / NJD -1.5
OTT covers
(-255)
70.3%
NJD covers
(+205)
29.7%
Total
O/U: 6.0
OVER
(-110)
51.0%
UNDER
(-110)
49.0%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: OTT Linus Ullmark (.895 projected SV%) vs NJD Nico Daws (.894 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: OTT dresses 2.85 goals/game of talent (led by Stützle, Batherson, Cozens) | NJD dresses 2.83 goals/game of talent (led by Hughes, Bratt, Hischier).
- • 📐 Model Rates: OTT 2.99 vs NJD 3.02 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 21.2% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (7.2%), 3-2 (6.6%), 3-4 (5.7%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (NJD 52.2% no-vig, Over 6.0 50.0%).
- • ❌ Injury: OTT - Jake Sanderson (D) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: OTT - William Eklund (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: OTT - Cameron Crotty (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ⚠️ Thin Roster: OTT is short 1 healthy skater(s); filled with replacement-level call-ups.
- • ❌ Injury: NJD - Connor Brown (R) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the New Jersey Devils winning in 52.2% of trials. Projected score: OTT 3.07 - NJD 3.18. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Starting Goalies
Ottawa Senators
Linus Ullmark
- Proj SV%
- .898
- Starts
- 37
- Shots Faced
- 901
New Jersey Devils
Nico Daws
Starter not yet announced. The simulation uses the team's most frequent starter until one is.
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Ottawa Senators
New Jersey Devils
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Ottawa Senators
W
vs Nashville Predators
3 - 2
|
Oct 10, 2026
W
vs Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 1
|
Oct 08, 2026
L
@ Detroit Red Wings
3 - 5
|
Oct 06, 2026
W
@ Boston Bruins
4 - 1
|
Oct 05, 2026
W
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
3 - 2
|
Oct 03, 2026
New Jersey Devils
W
vs Vancouver Canucks
4 - 1
|
Oct 10, 2026
L
vs Utah Mammoth
3 - 5
|
Oct 06, 2026
L
@ New York Islanders
0 - 6
|
Oct 03, 2026
W
vs Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 2
|
Oct 01, 2026