NHL
Friday, October 16 at 10:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
BOS
Boston Bruins
Away
5-2-0
(2-1-0 Away)
Form
L
L
W
W
W
Projected Final Score
3.34
—
3.16
ANA
Anaheim Ducks
Home
4-2-0
(1-2-0 Home)
Form
W
L
W
W
L
- Spread
-
BOS N/A (-110)ANA N/A (-110)
- Total
-
Posted N/A (-110)Simulated 6.5
- Moneyline
-
BOS N/AANA N/A
Simulated Outcome Probability
Boston Bruins
52.9%
Anaheim Ducks
47.2%
No edge at N/A
No edge at N/A
Our 10,000 iterations project the Boston Bruins to win outright in 52.9% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: N/A
BOS covers
(-110)
31.5%
ANA covers
(-110)
+16.1% Edge
68.5%
Total
O/U:
OVER
(-110)
49.6%
UNDER
(-110)
50.4%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: BOS Jeremy Swayman (.902 projected SV%) vs ANA Lukas Dostal (.892 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: BOS dresses 3.0 goals/game of talent (led by Pastrnak, McAvoy, Geekie) | ANA dresses 2.67 goals/game of talent (led by Carlsson, Gauthier, Sennecke).
- • 📐 Model Rates: BOS 3.17 vs ANA 2.99 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 19.7% of trials. Most common finals: 4-3 (6.5%), 3-2 (6.5%), 3-4 (6.1%).
- • 📭 No Market Yet: Graded against a standard +1.5 home puck line and 6.5 total until books post this game.
- • ❌ Injury: ANA - Ryan Poehling (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: ANA - Ian Moore (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Boston Bruins winning in 52.9% of trials. Projected score: BOS 3.34 - ANA 3.16.
Starting Goalies
Boston Bruins
Jeremy Swayman
- Proj SV%
- .902
- Starts
- 38
- Shots Faced
- 1114
Anaheim Ducks
Lukas Dostal
- Proj SV%
- .892
- Starts
- 38
- Shots Faced
- 1038
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Boston Bruins
Anaheim Ducks
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Boston Bruins
W
@ San Jose Sharks
6 - 3
|
Oct 13, 2026
W
vs Philadelphia Flyers
5 - 1
|
Oct 10, 2026
W
vs Utah Mammoth
6 - 1
|
Oct 08, 2026
L
vs Ottawa Senators
1 - 4
|
Oct 05, 2026
L
@ Minnesota Wild
1 - 4
|
Oct 03, 2026
Anaheim Ducks
L
vs Calgary Flames
2 - 4
|
Oct 13, 2026
W
@ Calgary Flames
4 - 2
|
Oct 10, 2026
W
@ Winnipeg Jets
5 - 1
|
Oct 09, 2026
L
vs Edmonton Oilers
2 - 5
|
Oct 07, 2026
W
vs Florida Panthers
3 - 2
|
Oct 04, 2026