NHL Thursday, October 22 at 07:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
NSH

Nashville Predators

Away 3-3-3 (1-1-2 Away)
W L L L W
Projected Final Score
2.94 — 3.43
BOS

Boston Bruins

Home 8-2-1 (4-1-0 Home)
W W W W L
Spread
NSH +1.5 (-195)
BOS -1.5 (+160)
Total
Posted 6.0 (-110)
Simulated 6.4
Moneyline
NSH +130
BOS -155

Simulated Outcome Probability

Nashville Predators
42.1%
Boston Bruins
57.9%
No edge at +130
No edge at -155

Our 10,000 iterations project the Boston Bruins to win outright in 57.9% of simulated game-runs.

Simulator Cover Probability

Spread Line: NSH +1.5 / BOS -1.5
NSH covers (-195) 64.5%
BOS covers (+160) 35.5%
Total O/U: 6.0
OVER (-110) +1.4% Edge 53.8%
UNDER (-110) 46.2%

Model Simulation Deciders

  • • 🥅 Goaltending: NSH Juuse Saros (.895 projected SV%) vs BOS Michael DiPietro (.896 projected SV%).
  • • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: NSH dresses 2.74 goals/game of talent (led by Forsberg, O'Reilly, Stamkos) | BOS dresses 3.0 goals/game of talent (led by Pastrnak, Geekie, McAvoy).
  • • 📐 Model Rates: NSH 2.94 vs BOS 3.42 regulation goals before the market blend.
  • • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 20.2% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (7.1%), 3-2 (6.2%), 3-4 (6.0%).
  • • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (BOS 58.3% no-vig, Over 6.0 50.0%).

VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis

Best Bet

Our 10,000 simulations project the Boston Bruins winning in 57.9% of trials. Projected score: NSH 2.94 - BOS 3.43. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.

Starting Goalies

Nashville Predators

Juuse Saros

Proj SV%
.895
Starts
45
Shots Faced
1326
Boston Bruins

Michael DiPietro

Proj SV%
.898
Starts
4
Shots Faced
128

Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.

Top Skaters (Per Game)

Sort by:

Nashville Predators

Boston Bruins

Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)

Nashville Predators

W vs St. Louis Blues
5 - 2 | Oct 17, 2026
L vs San Jose Sharks
2 - 3 | Oct 15, 2026
L vs Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 5 | Oct 13, 2026
L @ Ottawa Senators
2 - 3 | Oct 10, 2026
W @ Montréal Canadiens
5 - 2 | Oct 08, 2026

Boston Bruins

L @ Dallas Stars
2 - 3 | Oct 20, 2026
W @ Los Angeles Kings
4 - 1 | Oct 17, 2026
W @ Anaheim Ducks
4 - 2 | Oct 16, 2026
W @ San Jose Sharks
6 - 3 | Oct 13, 2026
W vs Philadelphia Flyers
5 - 1 | Oct 10, 2026