WNBA
Saturday, October 24 at 01:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
GSV
Golden State Valkyries
Away
32-12
(15-7 Away)
Form
W
W
W
L
L
Projected Final Score
79.3
—
80.4
ATL
Atlanta Dream
Home
30-14
(15-7 Home)
Form
W
W
L
W
W
- Spread
-
GSV +4.8 (-110)ATL -4.8 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 153.4 (-110)Simulated 159.7
- Moneyline
-
GSV +165ATL -195
Simulated Outcome Probability
Golden State Valkyries
46.6%
Atlanta Dream
53.4%
+8.9% edge at +165
No edge at -195
Our 10,000 iterations project the Atlanta Dream to win outright in 53.4% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: GSV +4.8 / ATL -4.8
GSV covers
(-110)
+6.4% Edge
58.8%
ATL covers
(-110)
41.2%
Total
O/U: 153.4
OVER
(-110)
+14.5% Edge
66.9%
UNDER
(-110)
33.1%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 75.8 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: ATL holds an Offensive Rating of 118.2 vs GSV's Defensive Rating of 95.8.
- • 📊 Season Records: ATL is 30-14 (Home: 15-7) vs GSV 32-12 (Away: 15-7).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: ATL factor: 1.016 | GSV factor: 1.012 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Atlanta Dream winning outright in 53.4% of trials. Projected score: GSV 79 - ATL 80.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 79.2
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.2
ORtg: 105.1
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 120.8
DRtg: 97.0
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 100.1
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
44.9% / 40.9%
3-Point %
34.5% / 30.8%
Free Throw %
79.2% / 77.8%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Golden State Valkyries
Atlanta Dream
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Golden State Valkyries
L
@ Atlanta Dream
71 - 97
|
Oct 21, 2026
L
vs Atlanta Dream
65 - 79
|
Oct 19, 2026
W
vs Atlanta Dream
68 - 64
|
Oct 17, 2026
W
@ Las Vegas Aces
87 - 77
|
Oct 09, 2026
W
vs Las Vegas Aces
83 - 81
|
Oct 07, 2026
Atlanta Dream
W
vs Golden State Valkyries
97 - 71
|
Oct 21, 2026
W
@ Golden State Valkyries
79 - 65
|
Oct 19, 2026
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
64 - 68
|
Oct 17, 2026
W
@ New York Liberty
85 - 83
|
Oct 09, 2026
W
vs New York Liberty
101 - 98
|
Oct 07, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Atlanta Dream defeated Golden State Valkyries
97 - 71
|
Oct 21, 2026
Away
Atlanta Dream defeated Golden State Valkyries
79 - 65
|
Oct 19, 2026
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Atlanta Dream
68 - 64
|
Oct 17, 2026
Away
Golden State Valkyries defeated Atlanta Dream
88 - 83
|
Jul 04, 2026
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Atlanta Dream
78 - 75
|
Jun 26, 2026