NHL
Saturday, October 24 at 01:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
ANA
Anaheim Ducks
Away
4-6-0
(3-3-0 Away)
Form
L
L
L
L
L
Projected Final Score
2.91
—
3.19
PHI
Philadelphia Flyers
Home
3-6-3
(2-2-2 Home)
Form
L
L
W
W
W
- Spread
-
ANA +1.5 (-245)PHI -1.5 (+200)
- Total
-
Posted 6.0 (-115)Simulated 6.1
- Moneyline
-
ANA +105PHI -125
Simulated Outcome Probability
Anaheim Ducks
45.8%
Philadelphia Flyers
54.2%
No edge at +105
No edge at -125
Our 10,000 iterations project the Philadelphia Flyers to win outright in 54.2% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: ANA +1.5 / PHI -1.5
ANA covers
(-245)
67.7%
PHI covers
(+200)
32.3%
Total
O/U: 6.0
OVER
(-115)
48.4%
UNDER
(-105)
+0.4% Edge
51.6%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: ANA Lukas Dostal (.892 projected SV%) vs PHI Joseph Woll (.898 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: ANA dresses 2.5 goals/game of talent (led by Carlsson, Gauthier, Sennecke) | PHI dresses 2.53 goals/game of talent (led by Zegras, Michkov, Dvorak).
- • 📐 Model Rates: ANA 2.57 vs PHI 3.0 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 21.3% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (7.7%), 3-2 (6.8%), 4-3 (5.7%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (PHI 53.2% no-vig, Over 6.0 51.1%).
- • ❌ Injury: ANA - Ryan Poehling (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: ANA - Judd Caulfield (R) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: ANA - Pavel Mintyukov (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: PHI - Travis Konecny (R) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: PHI - Owen Tippett (R) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: PHI - Cam York (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Philadelphia Flyers winning in 54.2% of trials. Projected score: ANA 2.91 - PHI 3.19. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Starting Goalies
Anaheim Ducks
Lukas Dostal
- Proj SV%
- .892
- Starts
- 40
- Shots Faced
- 1085
Philadelphia Flyers
Joseph Woll
- Proj SV%
- .898
- Starts
- 29
- Shots Faced
- 924
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Anaheim Ducks
Philadelphia Flyers
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Anaheim Ducks
L
@ New Jersey Devils
1 - 4
|
Oct 22, 2026
L
@ New York Islanders
2 - 3
|
Oct 20, 2026
L
@ New York Rangers
2 - 5
|
Oct 19, 2026
L
vs Boston Bruins
2 - 4
|
Oct 16, 2026
L
vs Calgary Flames
2 - 4
|
Oct 13, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers
W
@ Buffalo Sabres
3 - 1
|
Oct 21, 2026
W
vs Colorado Avalanche
3 - 2
|
Oct 19, 2026
W
vs Ottawa Senators
3 - 1
|
Oct 17, 2026
L
@ Detroit Red Wings
1 - 2
|
Oct 15, 2026
L
vs Seattle Kraken
2 - 3
|
Oct 13, 2026