NHL
Saturday, October 24 at 03:30 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
LAK
Los Angeles Kings
Away
2-4-2
(2-1-2 Away)
Form
L
L
L
W
W
Projected Final Score
2.77
—
3.34
NJD
New Jersey Devils
Home
6-4-0
(5-2-0 Home)
Form
W
W
L
W
W
- Spread
-
LAK +1.5 (-180)NJD -1.5 (+150)
- Total
-
Posted 5.5 (-120)Simulated 6.1
- Moneyline
-
LAK +140NJD -170
Simulated Outcome Probability
Los Angeles Kings
40.8%
New Jersey Devils
59.3%
No edge at +140
No edge at -170
Our 10,000 iterations project the New Jersey Devils to win outright in 59.3% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: LAK +1.5 / NJD -1.5
LAK covers
(-180)
64.0%
NJD covers
(+150)
36.0%
Total
O/U: 5.5
OVER
(-120)
+0.1% Edge
54.6%
UNDER
(-100)
45.4%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: LAK Darcy Kuemper (.894 projected SV%) vs NJD Jake Allen (.897 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: LAK dresses 2.63 goals/game of talent (led by Panarin, Kempe, Zuccarello) | NJD dresses 2.95 goals/game of talent (led by Hughes, Bratt, Hischier).
- • 📐 Model Rates: LAK 2.7 vs NJD 3.29 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 20.9% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (7.6%), 3-2 (6.3%), 3-4 (6.2%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (NJD 60.2% no-vig, Over 5.5 52.2%).
- • ❌ Injury: LAK - Kevin Fiala (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: LAK - Alex Turcotte (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the New Jersey Devils winning in 59.3% of trials. Projected score: LAK 2.77 - NJD 3.34. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Starting Goalies
Los Angeles Kings
Darcy Kuemper
- Proj SV%
- .894
- Starts
- 36
- Shots Faced
- 913
New Jersey Devils
Jake Allen
- Proj SV%
- .897
- Starts
- 28
- Shots Faced
- 782
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Los Angeles Kings
New Jersey Devils
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Los Angeles Kings
W
@ New York Islanders
3 - 2
|
Oct 22, 2026
W
@ Washington Capitals
5 - 2
|
Oct 20, 2026
L
vs Boston Bruins
1 - 4
|
Oct 17, 2026
L
vs Edmonton Oilers
1 - 4
|
Oct 13, 2026
L
@ Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 2
|
Oct 10, 2026
New Jersey Devils
W
vs Anaheim Ducks
4 - 1
|
Oct 22, 2026
W
vs Colorado Avalanche
4 - 3
|
Oct 20, 2026
L
@ Washington Capitals
2 - 4
|
Oct 17, 2026
W
vs New York Rangers
7 - 1
|
Oct 15, 2026
W
@ Detroit Red Wings
5 - 4
|
Oct 13, 2026