NBA
Friday, October 23 at 04:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
CHI
Chicago Bulls
Away
0-1
(0-1 Away)
Form
L
Projected Final Score
118.0
—
120.7
MIL
Milwaukee Bucks
Home
0-1
(0-0 Home)
Form
L
- Spread
-
CHI +1.5 (-110)MIL -1.5 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 239.5 (-110)Simulated 238.7
- Moneyline
-
CHI -100MIL -120
Simulated Outcome Probability
Chicago Bulls
41.1%
Milwaukee Bucks
58.9%
No edge at -100
+4.4% edge at -120
Our 10,000 iterations project the Milwaukee Bucks to win outright in 58.9% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: CHI +1.5 / MIL -1.5
CHI covers
(-110)
44.6%
MIL covers
(-110)
+3.0% Edge
55.4%
Total
O/U: 239.5
OVER
(-110)
47.4%
UNDER
(-110)
+0.2% Edge
52.6%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Rotation Scoring: CHI rotation carries 115.5 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Powell, Buzelis, Jones) | MIL rotation carries 115.4 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Herro, Rollins, Kuzma).
- • 🛡️ Team Defense: CHI allows 121.8/game | MIL allows 117.1/game (blended with last season and regressed toward league average).
- • 📐 Model Line: MIL by 5.0, total 233.7 before the market blend, including 2.2 points of home court.
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 70% toward the posted spread and 85% toward the total (MIL -1.5, total 239.5).
- • ⚠️ Questionable: CHI - Josh Giddey is Day-To-Day; projected for 60% of his usual 30.5 minutes.
- • ❌ Injury: CHI - Nic Claxton is Out; his 27.0 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ⚠️ Questionable: CHI - Jordan Hawkins is Day-To-Day; projected for 60% of his usual 16.8 minutes.
- • ⚠️ Questionable: CHI - Zach Collins is Day-To-Day; projected for 60% of his usual 15.3 minutes.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Milwaukee Bucks winning in 58.9% of trials. Projected score: CHI 118 - MIL 121. Value: MIL moneyline (-120), +4.4 pts; MIL -1.5 (-110), +3.0 pts.
Top Players (Per Game)
Sort by:
Chicago Bulls
Milwaukee Bucks
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Chicago Bulls
L
@ Toronto Raptors
92 - 135
|
Oct 21, 2026
Milwaukee Bucks
L
@ Washington Wizards
116 - 128
|
Oct 21, 2026