NBA
Saturday, October 24 at 06:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
MIA
Miami Heat
Away
0-1
(0-0 Away)
Form
L
Projected Final Score
114.2
—
111.9
CHA
Charlotte Hornets
Home
1-0
(0-0 Home)
Form
W
- Spread
-
MIA N/A (-110)CHA N/A (-110)
- Total
-
Posted N/A (-110)Simulated 226.1
- Moneyline
-
MIA N/ACHA N/A
Simulated Outcome Probability
Miami Heat
57.2%
Charlotte Hornets
42.9%
No edge at N/A
No edge at N/A
Our 10,000 iterations project the Miami Heat to win outright in 57.2% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: N/A
MIA covers
(-110)
50.0%
CHA covers
(-110)
50.0%
Total
O/U:
OVER
(-110)
50.1%
UNDER
(-110)
49.9%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Rotation Scoring: MIA rotation carries 124.3 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Antetokounmpo, Adebayo, Wiggins) | CHA rotation carries 101.8 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Miller, Allen, Reid).
- • 🛡️ Team Defense: MIA allows 118.8/game | CHA allows 111.0/game (blended with last season and regressed toward league average).
- • 📐 Model Line: MIA by 2.3, total 226.0 before the market blend, including 2.2 points of home court.
- • 📭 No Market Yet: Graded against the model's own line (CHA +2.5, total 226.0) until books post this game.
- • 😴 Back-to-Back: MIA played last night; 1.5 points of margin taken off.
- • 😴 Back-to-Back: CHA played last night; 1.5 points of margin taken off.
- • ❌ Injury: CHA - Kon Knueppel is Out; his 30.6 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ❌ Injury: CHA - Coby White is Out; his 27.8 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ❌ Injury: CHA - Grant Williams is Out; his 20.8 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Miami Heat winning in 57.2% of trials. Projected score: MIA 114 - CHA 112.
Top Players (Per Game)
Sort by:
Miami Heat
Charlotte Hornets
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Miami Heat
L
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
106 - 131
|
Oct 21, 2026
Charlotte Hornets
W
@ Brooklyn Nets
110 - 103
|
Oct 21, 2026