NHL Sunday, October 25 at 03:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
FLA

Florida Panthers

Away 5-4-2 (3-3-2 Away)
W W W L L
Projected Final Score
3.11 — 3.06
CHI

Chicago Blackhawks

Home 3-6-0 (3-2-0 Home)
L L W W L
Spread
FLA N/A (-110)
CHI N/A (-110)
Total
Posted N/A (-110)
Simulated 6.2
Moneyline
FLA N/A
CHI N/A

Simulated Outcome Probability

Florida Panthers
50.3%
Chicago Blackhawks
49.7%
No edge at N/A
No edge at N/A

Our 10,000 iterations project the Florida Panthers to win outright in 50.3% of simulated game-runs.

Simulator Cover Probability

Spread Line: N/A
FLA covers (-110) 29.0%
CHI covers (-110) +18.6% Edge 71.0%
Total O/U:
OVER (-110) 44.1%
UNDER (-110) +3.5% Edge 55.9%

Model Simulation Deciders

  • • 🥅 Goaltending: FLA Akira Schmid (.893 projected SV%) vs CHI Spencer Knight (.897 projected SV%).
  • • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: FLA dresses 2.77 goals/game of talent (led by Tkachuk, Tkachuk, Reinhart) | CHI dresses 2.55 goals/game of talent (led by Bedard, Kane, Bertuzzi).
  • • 📐 Model Rates: FLA 2.96 vs CHI 2.9 regulation goals before the market blend.
  • • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 20.2% of trials. Most common finals: 3-2 (6.8%), 2-3 (6.6%), 3-4 (6.1%).
  • • 📭 No Market Yet: Graded against a standard +1.5 home puck line and 6.5 total until books post this game.
  • • ❌ Injury: FLA - Brad Marchand (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
  • • ❌ Injury: FLA - Jonah Gadjovich (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
  • • ❌ Injury: FLA - Aleksander Barkov (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
  • • ❌ Injury: CHI - Andrew Mangiapane (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.

VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis

Best Bet

Our 10,000 simulations project the Florida Panthers winning in 50.3% of trials. Projected score: FLA 3.11 - CHI 3.06.

Starting Goalies

Florida Panthers

Akira Schmid

Proj SV%
.893
Starts
21
Shots Faced
603
Chicago Blackhawks

Spencer Knight

Proj SV%
.897
Starts
40
Shots Faced
1173

Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.

Top Skaters (Per Game)

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Florida Panthers

Chicago Blackhawks

Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)

Florida Panthers

L @ Pittsburgh Penguins
0 - 4 | Oct 22, 2026
L @ Ottawa Senators
1 - 5 | Oct 21, 2026
W vs Seattle Kraken
8 - 3 | Oct 17, 2026
W vs Vancouver Canucks
3 - 2 | Oct 15, 2026
W @ Columbus Blue Jackets
7 - 3 | Oct 13, 2026

Chicago Blackhawks

L vs Dallas Stars
0 - 4 | Oct 17, 2026
W vs Winnipeg Jets
4 - 3 | Oct 15, 2026
W vs Pittsburgh Penguins
5 - 3 | Oct 13, 2026
L vs Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 5 | Oct 10, 2026
L @ New York Islanders
1 - 4 | Oct 08, 2026