NHL
Sunday, October 25 at 06:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
NYI
New York Islanders
Away
5-3-2
(1-2-1 Away)
Form
W
L
W
W
L
Projected Final Score
2.69
—
3.28
DAL
Dallas Stars
Home
6-3-1
(3-2-0 Home)
Form
L
W
W
W
W
- Spread
-
NYI N/A (-110)DAL N/A (-110)
- Total
-
Posted N/A (-110)Simulated 6.0
- Moneyline
-
NYI N/ADAL N/A
Simulated Outcome Probability
New York Islanders
40.4%
Dallas Stars
59.6%
No edge at N/A
No edge at N/A
Our 10,000 iterations project the Dallas Stars to win outright in 59.6% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: N/A
NYI covers
(-110)
+11.1% Edge
63.5%
DAL covers
(-110)
36.5%
Total
O/U:
OVER
(-110)
40.4%
UNDER
(-110)
+7.2% Edge
59.6%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: NYI Ilya Sorokin (.902 projected SV%) vs DAL Jake Oettinger (.899 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: NYI dresses 2.55 goals/game of talent (led by Horvat, Schaefer, Schenn) | DAL dresses 2.92 goals/game of talent (led by Rantanen, Robertson, Johnston).
- • 📐 Model Rates: NYI 2.52 vs DAL 3.07 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 21.0% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (7.8%), 3-2 (6.7%), 3-4 (6.0%).
- • 📭 No Market Yet: Graded against a standard -1.5 home puck line and 6.5 total until books post this game.
- • ❌ Injury: NYI - Matias Maccelli (L) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: NYI - Calum Ritchie (C) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: NYI - Alexander Romanov (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: DAL - Matt Duchene (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: DAL - Esa Lindell (D) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: DAL - Oskar Bäck (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Dallas Stars winning in 59.6% of trials. Projected score: NYI 2.69 - DAL 3.28.
Starting Goalies
New York Islanders
Ilya Sorokin
- Proj SV%
- .902
- Starts
- 39
- Shots Faced
- 1101
Dallas Stars
Jake Oettinger
- Proj SV%
- .899
- Starts
- 40
- Shots Faced
- 988
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
New York Islanders
Dallas Stars
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
New York Islanders
L
vs Los Angeles Kings
2 - 3
|
Oct 22, 2026
W
vs Anaheim Ducks
3 - 2
|
Oct 20, 2026
W
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
4 - 1
|
Oct 17, 2026
L
@ Ottawa Senators
1 - 2
|
Oct 15, 2026
W
vs Vancouver Canucks
3 - 2
|
Oct 13, 2026
Dallas Stars
W
vs Winnipeg Jets
3 - 2
|
Oct 22, 2026
W
vs Boston Bruins
3 - 2
|
Oct 20, 2026
W
@ Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 0
|
Oct 17, 2026
W
@ Colorado Avalanche
3 - 2
|
Oct 14, 2026
L
vs Colorado Avalanche
2 - 3
|
Oct 13, 2026