WNBA
Monday, October 26 at 08:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
ATL
Atlanta Dream
Away
30-14
(15-7 Away)
Form
W
W
L
W
W
Projected Final Score
83.1
—
82.9
GSV
Golden State Valkyries
Home
32-12
(17-5 Home)
Form
W
W
W
L
L
- Spread
-
ATL +0.2 (-110)GSV -0.2 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 166.5 (-110)Simulated 166.0
- Moneyline
-
ATL -110GSV -105
Simulated Outcome Probability
Atlanta Dream
50.9%
Golden State Valkyries
49.1%
No edge at -110
No edge at -105
Our 10,000 iterations project the Atlanta Dream to win outright in 50.9% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: ATL +0.2 / GSV -0.2
ATL covers
(-110)
50.9%
GSV covers
(-110)
49.1%
Total
O/U: 166.5
OVER
(-110)
39.1%
UNDER
(-110)
+8.5% Edge
60.9%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 77.5 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: GSV holds an Offensive Rating of 104.9 vs ATL's Defensive Rating of 98.5.
- • 📊 Season Records: GSV is 32-12 (Home: 17-5) vs ATL 30-14 (Away: 15-7).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: GSV factor: 1.012 | ATL factor: 1.016 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Atlanta Dream winning outright in 50.9% of trials. Projected score: ATL 83 - GSV 83.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 78.2
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 79.2
ORtg: 120.8
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 105.3
DRtg: 100.1
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 96.7
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
40.9% / 44.9%
3-Point %
30.8% / 34.5%
Free Throw %
77.8% / 79.2%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Atlanta Dream
Golden State Valkyries
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Atlanta Dream
W
vs Golden State Valkyries
97 - 71
|
Oct 21, 2026
W
@ Golden State Valkyries
79 - 65
|
Oct 19, 2026
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
64 - 68
|
Oct 17, 2026
W
@ New York Liberty
85 - 83
|
Oct 09, 2026
W
vs New York Liberty
101 - 98
|
Oct 07, 2026
Golden State Valkyries
L
@ Atlanta Dream
71 - 97
|
Oct 21, 2026
L
vs Atlanta Dream
65 - 79
|
Oct 19, 2026
W
vs Atlanta Dream
68 - 64
|
Oct 17, 2026
W
@ Las Vegas Aces
87 - 77
|
Oct 09, 2026
W
vs Las Vegas Aces
83 - 81
|
Oct 07, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Atlanta Dream defeated Golden State Valkyries
97 - 71
|
Oct 21, 2026
Away
Atlanta Dream defeated Golden State Valkyries
79 - 65
|
Oct 19, 2026
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Atlanta Dream
68 - 64
|
Oct 17, 2026
Away
Golden State Valkyries defeated Atlanta Dream
88 - 83
|
Jul 04, 2026
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Atlanta Dream
78 - 75
|
Jun 26, 2026