NHL
Thursday, October 29 at 07:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
UTA
Utah Mammoth
Away
9-5-0
(5-3-0 Away)
Form
L
W
L
W
L
Projected Final Score
3.48
—
3.25
PIT
Pittsburgh Penguins
Home
5-6-2
(4-1-1 Home)
Form
L
L
L
W
W
- Spread
-
UTA -1.5 (+175)PIT +1.5 (-210)
- Total
-
Posted 6.5 (-135)Simulated 6.7
- Moneyline
-
UTA -135PIT +115
Simulated Outcome Probability
Utah Mammoth
53.5%
Pittsburgh Penguins
46.6%
No edge at -135
+0.1% edge at +115
Our 10,000 iterations project the Utah Mammoth to win outright in 53.5% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: UTA -1.5 / PIT +1.5
UTA covers
(+175)
32.4%
PIT covers
(-210)
67.6%
Total
O/U: 6.5
OVER
(-135)
52.9%
UNDER
(+110)
47.1%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: UTA Karel Vejmelka (.894 projected SV%) vs PIT Arturs Silovs (.893 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: UTA dresses 3.13 goals/game of talent (led by Keller, Schmaltz, Guenther) | PIT dresses 2.85 goals/game of talent (led by Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson).
- • 📐 Model Rates: UTA 3.2 vs PIT 3.09 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 20.0% of trials. Most common finals: 4-3 (6.2%), 3-2 (6.1%), 3-4 (5.9%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (PIT 44.7% no-vig, Over 6.5 54.7%).
- • ❌ Injury: UTA - John Marino (D) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: UTA - Michael Carcone (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: UTA - Maveric Lamoureux (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: PIT - Bryan Rust (R) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: PIT - Justin Brazeau (R) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: PIT - Elmer Soderblom (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Utah Mammoth winning in 53.5% of trials. Projected score: UTA 3.48 - PIT 3.25. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Starting Goalies
Utah Mammoth
Karel Vejmelka
- Proj SV%
- .894
- Starts
- 48
- Shots Faced
- 1237
Pittsburgh Penguins
Arturs Silovs
- Proj SV%
- .893
- Starts
- 32
- Shots Faced
- 856
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Utah Mammoth
Pittsburgh Penguins
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Utah Mammoth
L
vs Minnesota Wild
1 - 3
|
Oct 27, 2026
W
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
5 - 4
|
Oct 24, 2026
L
@ Seattle Kraken
3 - 5
|
Oct 22, 2026
W
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
5 - 4
|
Oct 19, 2026
L
vs Edmonton Oilers
2 - 6
|
Oct 17, 2026
Pittsburgh Penguins
W
vs Nashville Predators
3 - 2
|
Oct 24, 2026
W
vs Florida Panthers
4 - 0
|
Oct 22, 2026
L
@ Utah Mammoth
4 - 5
|
Oct 19, 2026
L
@ Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 6
|
Oct 17, 2026
L
@ Colorado Avalanche
2 - 5
|
Oct 16, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Utah Mammoth defeated Pittsburgh Penguins
5 - 4
|
Oct 19, 2026