NBA
Friday, October 30 at 07:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
CHA
Charlotte Hornets
Away
3-3
(1-2 Away)
Form
W
L
W
W
L
Projected Final Score
110.1
—
110.1
WSH
Washington Wizards
Home
3-3
(2-1 Home)
Form
W
L
W
L
L
- Spread
-
CHA -1.0 (-105)WSH +1.0 (-115)
- Total
-
Posted 218.5 (-110)Simulated 220.2
- Moneyline
-
CHA -115WSH -105
Simulated Outcome Probability
Charlotte Hornets
50.1%
Washington Wizards
49.9%
No edge at -115
No edge at -105
Our 10,000 iterations project the Charlotte Hornets to win outright in 50.1% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: CHA -1.0 / WSH +1.0
CHA covers
(-105)
48.3%
WSH covers
(-115)
51.7%
Total
O/U: 218.5
OVER
(-110)
+1.1% Edge
53.5%
UNDER
(-110)
46.5%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Rotation Scoring: CHA rotation carries 101.9 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Miller, Allen, Reid) | WSH rotation carries 118.3 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Davis, Young, Sarr).
- • 🛡️ Team Defense: CHA allows 110.9/game | WSH allows 124.0/game (blended with last season and regressed toward league average).
- • 📐 Model Line: WSH by 1.3, total 228.6 before the market blend, including 2.2 points of home court.
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 70% toward the posted spread and 85% toward the total (WSH +1.0, total 218.5).
- • ❌ Injury: CHA - Kon Knueppel is Out; his 30.6 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ❌ Injury: CHA - Coby White is Out; his 27.8 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ❌ Injury: CHA - Grant Williams is Out; his 20.8 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ⚠️ Questionable: WSH - Tre Johnson is Day-To-Day; projected for 60% of his usual 23.3 minutes.
- • ❌ Injury: WSH - Justin Champagnie is Out; his 20.0 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ❌ Injury: WSH - Jamir Watkins is Out; his 20.0 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Charlotte Hornets winning in 50.1% of trials. Projected score: CHA 110 - WSH 110. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Top Players (Per Game)
Sort by:
Charlotte Hornets
Washington Wizards
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Charlotte Hornets
L
@ Detroit Pistons
89 - 97
|
Oct 28, 2026
W
vs Washington Wizards
110 - 103
|
Oct 26, 2026
W
vs Miami Heat
115 - 110
|
Oct 24, 2026
L
vs Atlanta Hawks
81 - 128
|
Oct 23, 2026
W
@ Brooklyn Nets
110 - 103
|
Oct 21, 2026
Washington Wizards
L
@ Cleveland Cavaliers
111 - 121
|
Oct 28, 2026
L
@ Charlotte Hornets
103 - 110
|
Oct 26, 2026
W
@ Chicago Bulls
124 - 120
|
Oct 24, 2026
L
vs Toronto Raptors
102 - 112
|
Oct 23, 2026
W
vs Milwaukee Bucks
128 - 116
|
Oct 21, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Charlotte Hornets defeated Washington Wizards
110 - 103
|
Oct 26, 2026